President Trump's approval rating has plunged to near-record lows in his second term, averaging around 41% per RealClearPolitics as of late March 2026, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that began earlier this month and triggered sharp fuel price surges, eroding public confidence in his economy and foreign policy handling. Polls like Reuters/Ipsos show 36% approval amid these pressures, down from early-year peaks near 50% before escalation. Recent executive actions addressing TSA pay during DHS funding disputes and cabinet discussions on Iran signal efforts to stabilize, but persistent inflation concerns loom ahead of November midterms. Traders weigh potential rebounds from de-escalation or economic relief against entrenched disapproval trends shaping the year's peak rating prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQuelle sera la note d'approbation de Trump en 2026 ?
Quelle sera la note d'approbation de Trump en 2026 ?
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 44 %
15%
↑ 45 %
12%
↑ 46 %
8%
↑ 47 %
5%
↑ 48 %
6%
↑ 49 %
4%
↑ 50 %
8%
$2,735 Vol.
↑ 44 %
$2,424 Vol.
15%
↑ 45 %
$0 Vol.
12%
↑ 46 %
$312 Vol.
8%
↑ 47 %
$0 Vol.
5%
↑ 48 %
$0 Vol.
6%
↑ 49 %
$0 Vol.
4%
↑ 50 %
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to near-record lows in his second term, averaging around 41% per RealClearPolitics as of late March 2026, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that began earlier this month and triggered sharp fuel price surges, eroding public confidence in his economy and foreign policy handling. Polls like Reuters/Ipsos show 36% approval amid these pressures, down from early-year peaks near 50% before escalation. Recent executive actions addressing TSA pay during DHS funding disputes and cabinet discussions on Iran signal efforts to stabilize, but persistent inflation concerns loom ahead of November midterms. Traders weigh potential rebounds from de-escalation or economic relief against entrenched disapproval trends shaping the year's peak rating prospects.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Marché ouvert : Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$2,735Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to near-record lows in his second term, averaging around 41% per RealClearPolitics as of late March 2026, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that began earlier this month and triggered sharp fuel price surges, eroding public confidence in his economy and foreign policy handling. Polls like Reuters/Ipsos show 36% approval amid these pressures, down from early-year peaks near 50% before escalation. Recent executive actions addressing TSA pay during DHS funding disputes and cabinet discussions on Iran signal efforts to stabilize, but persistent inflation concerns loom ahead of November midterms. Traders weigh potential rebounds from de-escalation or economic relief against entrenched disapproval trends shaping the year's peak rating prospects.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$2,735Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has plunged to near-record lows in his second term, averaging around 41% per RealClearPolitics as of late March 2026, driven primarily by the ongoing Iran war that began earlier this month and triggered sharp fuel price surges, eroding public confidence in his economy and foreign policy handling. Polls like Reuters/Ipsos show 36% approval amid these pressures, down from early-year peaks near 50% before escalation. Recent executive actions addressing TSA pay during DHS funding disputes and cabinet discussions on Iran signal efforts to stabilize, but persistent inflation concerns loom ahead of November midterms. Traders weigh potential rebounds from de-escalation or economic relief against entrenched disapproval trends shaping the year's peak rating prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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