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Elections predictions & odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

28%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$5M today

$47M Liq.

672

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·US Election

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$529M Vol.

$4M today

$30M Liq.

851

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·Primaries

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$558M Vol.

$3M today

$30M Liq.

352

Ends in over 2 years

Peru Presidential Election Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election Winner

65%

Keiko Fujimori

$32M Vol.

$3M today

$7M Liq.

3,033

Ends in about 2 months

Next French Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Édouard Philippe

$42M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

408

Ends in about 1 year

Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Elections·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$91M Vol.

$1M today

$6M Liq.

2,085

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

89%

Chong Won-oh

$23M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

31

Ends in about 2 months

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

70%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$1M Liq.

279

Colombia Presidential Election
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election

41%

Paloma Valencia

$20M Vol.

$516K today

$1M Liq.

369

Ends in 2 months

Trump out as President by April 30?

Trump out as President by April 30?

1%

$8M Vol.

$325K today

$830K Liq.

1

Ends in 14 days

California Governor Election Winner
Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

70%

Tom Steyer

$10M Vol.

$297K today

$2M Liq.

29

Ends in 7 months

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
Elections·Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

92%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$3M Vol.

$149K today

$408K Liq.

6

Ends in about 2 months

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

99%

Jorge Nieto

$397K Vol.

$132K today

$198K Liq.

2

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
Elections·Global Elections

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

67%

Other

$983K Vol.

$130K today

$135K Liq.

19

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

99%

Keiko Fujimori

$2M Vol.

$123K today

$721K Liq.

17

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

63%

Rafael López Aliaga

$574K Vol.

$111K today

$318K Liq.

10

Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner

Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner

90%

Park Soo-hyun

$991K Vol.

$96.3K today

$160K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Elections·US Election

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

53%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$86.5K today

$596K Liq.

148

Ends in 7 months

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Elections·Global Elections

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

88%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$293K Vol.

$79.7K today

$141K Liq.

5

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

65%

United Russia (ER)

$5M Vol.

$74.1K today

$377K Liq.

142

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Elections.

Polymarket currently hosts 847 active markets for Elections that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.4B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Trump out as President by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 28% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Elections predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.