The 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Flynn’s resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, features Richard Gordon Thomson as the SNP candidate. Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency, benefits from the party’s established local organization and the seat’s recent electoral history. The contest has centered on North Sea oil and gas policy as the dominant issue, with traders pricing in an SNP hold at high implied probability. Conservative candidate Douglas Lumsden and other contenders trail significantly in market pricing, reflecting limited evidence of a shift in voter coalitions or turnout patterns ahead of the 18 June poll. Market odds remain sensitive to any late shifts in energy-related messaging or participation rates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDouglas Lumsden 100.0%
Jorg Shelton-Eckstein <1%
Richard Gordon Thomson <1%
Jo Hart <1%
$31,419 Vol.
$31,419 Vol.
Jorg Shelton-Eckstein
Non
Richard Gordon Thomson
Non
Douglas Lumsden
Oui
Jo Hart
Non
Nurul Hoque Ali
Non
Mel Sullivan
Non
David Ballantine
Non
Douglas Lumsden 100.0%
Jorg Shelton-Eckstein <1%
Richard Gordon Thomson <1%
Jo Hart <1%
$31,419 Vol.
$31,419 Vol.
Jorg Shelton-Eckstein
Non
Richard Gordon Thomson
Non
Douglas Lumsden
Oui
Jo Hart
Non
Nurul Hoque Ali
Non
Mel Sullivan
Non
David Ballantine
Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Aberdeen South parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Aberdeen City Council (https://www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The 2026 Aberdeen South by-election, triggered by SNP MP Stephen Flynn’s resignation after his election to the Scottish Parliament, features Richard Gordon Thomson as the SNP candidate. Thomson, a former MP for the neighboring Gordon constituency, benefits from the party’s established local organization and the seat’s recent electoral history. The contest has centered on North Sea oil and gas policy as the dominant issue, with traders pricing in an SNP hold at high implied probability. Conservative candidate Douglas Lumsden and other contenders trail significantly in market pricing, reflecting limited evidence of a shift in voter coalitions or turnout patterns ahead of the 18 June poll. Market odds remain sensitive to any late shifts in energy-related messaging or participation rates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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