The Los Angeles mayoral primary on June 2 produced a clear top-two outcome, with incumbent Karen Bass holding roughly 34% and Nithya Raman securing second place over Spencer Pratt by a several-thousand-vote margin once 99% of ballots were tabulated. Los Angeles County election officials are on track to certify results by the July 10 deadline under standard procedures that require no automatic recount given the gap. Isolated social-media claims of tabulation discrepancies were reviewed and rejected by the Justice Department and county officials as inaccurate, with every batch showing votes distributed across candidates. Traders assign only a 4% chance of a recount because the decisive margin, near-complete count, and absence of substantiated irregularities leave little procedural room for reversal. The only realistic paths remain an unexpectedly narrow certified margin combined with a formal candidate petition or a successful court challenge demonstrating widespread errors—developments that current data render improbable.