Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 84.5% trader consensus due to his selection as Labour’s candidate following Josh Simons’ resignation, which was arranged to enable Burnham’s return to Parliament and potential leadership challenge. As Greater Manchester mayor and former local MP, Burnham benefits from high name recognition and established support in the constituency. Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, a local councillor, trails at 13.5% as the primary challenger amid recent Reform gains in the area. The remaining candidates hold minimal implied probabilities under 3%. The contest occurs on 18 June, with the result determining whether Burnham can enter any subsequent Labour leadership process.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMakerfield by-election Winner
Andy Burnham 85%
Robert Kenyon 14%
Rebecca Shepherd 2.6%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,425,546 Vol.
$2,425,546 Vol.
Andy Burnham
85%
Robert Kenyon
14%
Rebecca Shepherd
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Andy Burnham 85%
Robert Kenyon 14%
Rebecca Shepherd 2.6%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,425,546 Vol.
$2,425,546 Vol.
Andy Burnham
85%
Robert Kenyon
14%
Rebecca Shepherd
3%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Andy Burnham leads the Makerfield by-election market at 84.5% trader consensus due to his selection as Labour’s candidate following Josh Simons’ resignation, which was arranged to enable Burnham’s return to Parliament and potential leadership challenge. As Greater Manchester mayor and former local MP, Burnham benefits from high name recognition and established support in the constituency. Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, a local councillor, trails at 13.5% as the primary challenger amid recent Reform gains in the area. The remaining candidates hold minimal implied probabilities under 3%. The contest occurs on 18 June, with the result determining whether Burnham can enter any subsequent Labour leadership process.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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