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Élections·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro
Élections·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro

Eduardo Paes 92.5%

Douglas Ruas 3.5%

Rafa Luz <1%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Polymarket

$254,802 Vol.

Eduardo Paes 92.5%

Douglas Ruas 3.5%

Rafa Luz <1%

Anthony Garotinho <1%

Polymarket

$254,802 Vol.

Eduardo Paes

$31,174 Vol.

93%

Douglas Ruas

$10,601 Vol.

4%

Rafa Luz

$4,510 Vol.

1%

Anthony Garotinho

$6,692 Vol.

1%

Fred Pacheco

$132,163 Vol.

<1%

Felipe Curi

$16,630 Vol.

<1%

Tarcísio Motta

$7,749 Vol.

<1%

Wilson Witzel

$8,330 Vol.

<1%

Lindbergh Farias

$4,949 Vol.

<1%

André Ceciliano

$9,544 Vol.

<1%

Dr Luizinho

$7,266 Vol.

<1%

Chico Machado

$6,401 Vol.

<1%

Eduardo Pazuello

$1,717 Vol.

<1%

Nicola Miccione

$4,387 Vol.

<1%

André Português

$2,688 Vol.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$254,802
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) leads the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages of 34-60% across first-round and runoff scenarios, reflecting his record as mayor on tourism recovery and urban management plus a broad coalition that includes center-right allies for vice-governor. Recent developments include his February 2026 resignation announcement from city hall to focus on the October 4 election, ongoing ticket-building talks with regional figures, and the resignation of incumbent Cláudio Castro, which has not altered Paes’s frontrunner status. Lower probabilities for challengers such as Douglas Ruas (PL), Tarcísio Motta, and Anthony Garotinho align with their single-digit to low-teen polling shares amid limited consolidation of opposition support. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as the dominant drivers ahead of the first-round vote.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$254,802
Date de fin
5 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Eduardo Paes » à 93%, suivi de « Douglas Ruas » à 4%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 93¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro » a généré $254.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 9, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro » est « Eduardo Paes » à 93%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Douglas Ruas » à 4%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Rio de Janeiro » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.