Parti Québécois (PQ) odds reflect trader consensus on seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125, which give PQ a 98% chance of securing the most seats in the October 5, 2026, National Assembly election despite tied popular vote intentions around 28-32% with the Québec Liberal Party (PLQ). This stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in first-past-the-post ridings outside Montréal, bolstered by recent Liaison Strategies (May 5) and Pallas Data polls showing fragmented opposition. CAQ support has collapsed to 8-16% following François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's untested leadership, while PLQ dominates urban areas but trails in projections at 44 seats versus PQ's 64. No major shifts in the past week, with the campaign intensifying toward fixed election date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection générale québécoise
Vainqueur de l'élection générale québécoise
PQ 66%
PLQ 27%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$484,068 Vol.
$484,068 Vol.
5 oct. 2026
PQ
66%
PLQ
27%
CAQ
9%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 66%
PLQ 27%
CAQ 9%
PCQ <1%
$484,068 Vol.
$484,068 Vol.
5 oct. 2026
PQ
$50,446 Vol.
66%
PLQ
$55,368 Vol.
27%
CAQ
$55,340 Vol.
9%
PCQ
$155,349 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$112,953 Vol.
<1%
QS
$54,613 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Parti Québécois (PQ) odds reflect trader consensus on seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125, which give PQ a 98% chance of securing the most seats in the October 5, 2026, National Assembly election despite tied popular vote intentions around 28-32% with the Québec Liberal Party (PLQ). This stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in first-past-the-post ridings outside Montréal, bolstered by recent Liaison Strategies (May 5) and Pallas Data polls showing fragmented opposition. CAQ support has collapsed to 8-16% following François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's untested leadership, while PLQ dominates urban areas but trails in projections at 44 seats versus PQ's 64. No major shifts in the past week, with the campaign intensifying toward fixed election date.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Marché ouvert : Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$484,068Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Parti Québécois (PQ) odds reflect trader consensus on seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125, which give PQ a 98% chance of securing the most seats in the October 5, 2026, National Assembly election despite tied popular vote intentions around 28-32% with the Québec Liberal Party (PLQ). This stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in first-past-the-post ridings outside Montréal, bolstered by recent Liaison Strategies (May 5) and Pallas Data polls showing fragmented opposition. CAQ support has collapsed to 8-16% following François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's untested leadership, while PLQ dominates urban areas but trails in projections at 44 seats versus PQ's 64. No major shifts in the past week, with the campaign intensifying toward fixed election date.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$484,068Date de fin
5 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parti Québécois (PQ) odds reflect trader consensus on seat projections from aggregators like 338Canada and Qc125, which give PQ a 98% chance of securing the most seats in the October 5, 2026, National Assembly election despite tied popular vote intentions around 28-32% with the Québec Liberal Party (PLQ). This stems from PQ's efficient vote distribution in first-past-the-post ridings outside Montréal, bolstered by recent Liaison Strategies (May 5) and Pallas Data polls showing fragmented opposition. CAQ support has collapsed to 8-16% following François Legault's January resignation and Christine Fréchette's untested leadership, while PLQ dominates urban areas but trails in projections at 44 seats versus PQ's 64. No major shifts in the past week, with the campaign intensifying toward fixed election date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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