Karen Bass admits willingness to explore noncitizen voting in local elections

Mayor Karen Bass publicly stated openness to exploring noncitizen voting in local elections, a controversial stance that became a campaign issue and influenced voter perceptions.

Karen Bass admits falling short on promise to end street homelessness by 2026

Karen Bass surges to 54%33%

In a CNN interview, Mayor Bass acknowledged bureaucratic barriers slowed progress on homelessness, pledging renewed commitment, which influenced voter sentiment and market prices.

Karen Bass grilled over broken homelessness promise

In a CNN interview, Mayor Bass was pressed on her unfulfilled promise to end street homelessness by 2026, acknowledging bureaucratic barriers and pledging renewed commitment, which influenced voter sentiment and market prices.

Mayor Karen Bass expresses openness to exploring noncitizen voting

Mayor Bass stated she is open to exploring allowing noncitizens to vote in local elections, a controversial stance that sparked debate and affected public discourse during the campaign.

Spencer Pratt campaign event highlights public safety concerns

Spencer Pratt jumps to 24%5%

Spencer Pratt held a campaign event in Nithya Raman's district focusing on public safety and crime fears, resonating with voters concerned about safety and boosting his campaign visibility.

Spencer Pratt gains support with public safety focus at campaign event

Spencer Pratt jumps to 28%6%

Spencer Pratt held a campaign event in Nithya Raman’s district where voters expressed concerns about crime and public safety. Pratt’s message resonated with attendees, boosting his polling and market position as a serious contender.

Mobile billboard campaign targets Karen Bass over Ghana trip during 2025 wildfires

Karen Bass dips to 19%1%

A mobile billboard campaign in Los Angeles criticized Mayor Karen Bass for traveling to Ghana during the 2025 wildfires, reinforcing public dissatisfaction and impacting her re-election prospects.

Nithya Raman proposes ban on backyard barbecues during high fire danger days

Nithya Raman dips to 6%4%

Councilwoman and mayoral candidate Nithya Raman introduced a motion to consider banning backyard barbecues on days of high wildfire risk, sparking debate and opposition from other council members, reflecting her focus on fire safety but also controversy.

Nithya Raman proposes controversial backyard BBQ ban during fire danger

Nithya Raman plunges to 19%39%

Nithya Raman introduced a motion to consider banning backyard barbecues during Red Flag Warning days, sparking criticism from fellow politicians and the public. This proposal contributed to a decline in her polling and market prices.

Poll shows Spencer Pratt surging in Los Angeles mayoral race

Spencer Pratt jumps to 22%12%

An Emerson College poll revealed Spencer Pratt's support rising sharply to 22%, the largest increase among candidates, signaling growing viability as a challenger to incumbent Karen Bass.

Mayor Karen Bass and LAPD announce over 100 burglary arrests ahead of primary

Mayor Bass and LAPD announced significant progress in addressing a surge in burglaries, aiming to improve public safety perception ahead of the June 2 primary election, which likely helped her campaign's standing.

Poll shows Spencer Pratt and Karen Bass gaining support

Spencer Pratt rises to 22%4%

An Emerson College poll revealed increased support for Spencer Pratt and Karen Bass, with Pratt seeing the largest growth, reflecting shifting voter preferences ahead of the primary election.

Nithya Raman labels Spencer Pratt a 'mini-Trump' representing fascism

Nithya Raman plunges to 19%16%

In a progressive podcast interview, Nithya Raman criticized fellow candidate Spencer Pratt, comparing his style to Trump and framing his campaign as a threat, which highlighted ideological divides in the race and influenced voter perceptions.

Mayoral forum canceled after Bass and Raman withdraw

A planned mayoral forum was canceled when incumbent Karen Bass and challenger Nithya Raman withdrew, reducing public debate opportunities and impacting campaign dynamics shortly before the primary election.

Los Angeles mayoral forum canceled after Bass and Raman withdraw

A mayoral forum scheduled for May 13 was canceled after leading candidates Karen Bass and Nithya Raman withdrew, reflecting campaign strategies and impacting voter engagement.

Karen Bass withdraws from televised mayoral debate, drawing criticism

Karen Bass drops to 20%5%

Mayor Karen Bass pulled out of a scheduled televised debate, citing other commitments, which drew criticism for avoiding public accountability and may have hurt her standing in the race.

Mayor Karen Bass withdraws from televised mayoral debate, drawing criticism

Karen Bass canceled her participation in a key televised mayoral debate, citing legislative duties, which drew criticism from debate organizers and opponents. This decision was seen as a missed opportunity for voter engagement and may have affected market perceptions of her campaign strength.

U-Haul truck drives into crowd at Los Angeles anti-Iranian regime protest

Karen Bass surges to 53%23%

A U-Haul truck drove into a crowd of demonstrators at an anti-Iranian regime rally in Los Angeles, causing chaos and leading to the driver's arrest. Mayor Karen Bass spoke at the scene, calling for peaceful protest. This incident drew media attention and may have influenced voter sentiment on public safety and leadership.

Karen Bass withdraws from mayoral forum amid criticism over wildfire response

Mayor Karen Bass canceled participation in a key mayoral forum, drawing criticism and highlighting ongoing voter dissatisfaction with her handling of the 2025 wildfires, impacting her market support.

Karen Bass cancels mayoral forum appearance amid criticism

Karen Bass dips to 18%2%

Mayor Karen Bass withdrew from a scheduled televised mayoral debate, citing other commitments, which drew criticism for avoiding public accountability and may have affected voter perceptions ahead of the primary.

Los Angeles mayoral debate features Bass, Pratt, and Raman

The three leading candidates debated key issues including homelessness, public safety, and affordability, influencing voter opinions and market prices ahead of the primary election.

Karen Bass’s support surges amid final campaign push before primary

Karen Bass surges to 53%26%

In early May, Karen Bass’s market price surged significantly, reflecting renewed voter confidence or campaign momentum ahead of the June 2 primary election.

Kamala Harris endorses Karen Bass for re-election

Karen Bass rises to 62%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris endorsed incumbent Mayor Karen Bass, bolstering her campaign with a high-profile endorsement ahead of the primary election.

Vice President Kamala Harris endorses Karen Bass for re-election as LA mayor

Kamala Harris publicly endorsed incumbent Mayor Karen Bass, highlighting her achievements on homelessness and public safety. This high-profile endorsement likely bolstered Bass's campaign and market position.

Kamala Harris endorses incumbent Mayor Karen Bass for re-election

Karen Bass jumps to 30%9%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly endorsed Karen Bass, providing a significant boost to her campaign ahead of the June primary election.

Spencer Pratt outraises Karen Bass in fundraising for Los Angeles mayoral race

Spencer Pratt surges to 53%33%

Spencer Pratt reported raising over $540,000 in early 2026, surpassing incumbent Karen Bass and signaling strong campaign momentum and increased viability as a challenger.

Spencer Pratt outraises incumbent Karen Bass in fundraising haul

Spencer Pratt raised over half a million dollars, surpassing incumbent Karen Bass and signaling growing campaign momentum, which was reflected in his rising market price.

Los Angeles Times questions Spencer Pratt's residency eligibility

A report questioned Spencer Pratt's residency status due to his living arrangements after the Palisades Fire, raising legal and campaign challenges that affected his market support and public perception.

Mayor Bass receives endorsement from local labor unions amid fire controversy

Karen Bass jumps to 38%8%

AP reported that several labor groups publicly backed Bass in early April, temporarily stabilizing her price, which rose from 30% on Apr 2 to 38% on Apr 5 before falling again.

Los Angeles City Council delays zoning overhaul to comply with state housing law

Karen Bass plunges to 28%15%

The city council voted to delay zoning changes to buy more planning time under state law SB 79, reflecting local resistance to rapid housing density changes. This political maneuvering influenced perceptions of city leadership and indirectly affected mayoral race dynamics.

LA/OC Building & Construction Trades Council endorses Karen Bass for mayor

The endorsement from the powerful LA/OC Building & Construction Trades Council, representing over 160,000 skilled workers, reinforced Karen Bass's support among labor and construction sectors, strengthening her re-election campaign.

Nithya Raman enters Los Angeles mayoral race challenging incumbent Karen Bass

City councilmember Nithya Raman announced a surprise bid for mayor just hours before the filing deadline, challenging incumbent Karen Bass and reshaping the race dynamics.

Nithya Raman announces surprise challenge to Mayor Karen Bass

Nithya Raman declared her candidacy hours before the filing deadline, surprising many as she had recently endorsed Bass. Her progressive platform on homelessness and housing added a new dynamic to the race, affecting market prices for both candidates.

Councilmember Nithya Raman launches surprise mayoral bid against Karen Bass

Nithya Raman jumps to 60%11%

Los Angeles City Councilwoman Nithya Raman announced her candidacy for mayor just hours before the filing deadline, positioning herself as a challenger to incumbent Karen Bass. The surprise entry caused a sharp rise in Raman’s market price (from 49 % on Feb 9 to a peak of 60 % on Apr 30) and a corresponding dip in Bass’s price (from 62 % on Jan 2 to 48 % on Feb 19).

Nithya Raman announces surprise candidacy for Los Angeles mayor, challenging incumbent Karen Bass

City Councilwoman Nithya Raman entered the mayoral race just hours before the filing deadline, surprising many as she had previously endorsed Bass. Her entry reshaped the race dynamics, injecting progressive energy and challenging Bass on housing and homelessness issues, causing market shifts.

Nithya Raman announces surprise mayoral bid challenging incumbent Karen Bass

Nithya Raman entered the race just hours before the filing deadline, surprising many as she had previously endorsed Bass. Her late entry energized the progressive base and introduced a significant challenger to Bass, impacting market prices for both candidates.

Los Angeles anti-Iranian regime protest disrupted by U-Haul truck incident

Karen Bass drops to 48%8%

A U-Haul truck drove into a crowd at an anti-Iranian regime protest in Los Angeles, leading to arrests and police investigations. Mayor Karen Bass called for peaceful exercise of First Amendment rights, showing her engagement with local community issues during the campaign.

Austin Beutner withdraws from mayoral race after daughter's death

Austin Beutner plunges to 0%50%

Following the tragic death of his 22-year-old daughter, Austin Beutner withdrew from the mayoral race, removing a significant challenger and impacting market prices for his candidacy.

Austin Beutner withdraws from Los Angeles mayoral race after daughter's death

Austin Beutner plunges to 0%50%

Former LAUSD Superintendent Austin Beutner dropped out of the mayoral race following the death of his 22-year-old daughter, removing a prominent challenger from the field and impacting market prices.

Rick Caruso reconsiders running for LA mayor amid controversy over Bass wildfire report

Rick Caruso plunges to 0%36%

Following a report alleging Mayor Bass watered down a critical wildfire after-action report, Rick Caruso reconsidered his decision not to run for mayor, creating speculation and market volatility. Ultimately, Caruso decided not to run, impacting the race's competitive landscape.

Report alleges Mayor Karen Bass watered down Palisades fire after-action report

Karen Bass drops to 56%6%

A Los Angeles Times report claimed Mayor Bass directed watering down of a critical after-action report on the Palisades Fire, sparking controversy and speculation about a potential rematch with Rick Caruso.

Rick Caruso announces he will not run for California governor or LA mayor

Rick Caruso dips to 0%2%

Rick Caruso publicly confirmed he would not run for mayor or governor, ending speculation about a high‑profile candidacy. The market price for Caruso, which had been inactive, fell to 0 % by Apr 17 and stayed there.

Los Angeles Times reports Mayor Karen Bass directed watering down of Palisades Fire after-action report

Karen Bass drops to 56%6%

A Los Angeles Times investigation alleged that Mayor Karen Bass intervened to soften a critical report on the city's wildfire response, intensifying scrutiny of her leadership and briefly prompting speculation about Rick Caruso re-entering the race. Bass denied the allegations, but the controversy affected market perceptions of her re-election prospects.

Conservative group files lawsuit challenging LA school desegregation policy

Rae Huang plunges to 5%45%

The 1776 Project lawsuit was covered by AP, casting a partisan spotlight on city policies and coinciding with a sharp drop for Rae Huang and Asaad Alnajjar, whose prices fell to near‑zero by early February.

Rick Caruso announces he will not run for California governor or Los Angeles mayor

Rick Caruso plunges to 0%36%

Rick Caruso decided against running for mayor or governor, citing family considerations and disappointment, which caused a sharp drop in his market price and reshaped the race.

Rick Caruso confirms he will not run for Los Angeles mayor in 2026

Rick Caruso plunges to 0%36%

Rick Caruso, a billionaire developer and 2022 mayoral runner-up, announced he would not run for mayor or governor in 2026, despite speculation and controversy surrounding Mayor Bass. This decision removed a major potential candidate from the race.

One-year anniversary of Los Angeles wildfires highlights slow recovery and criticism

Karen Bass drops to 56%9%

On the anniversary of the deadly 2025 wildfires, communities mourned losses and protested the slow pace of rebuilding. Mayor Bass remained on the defensive over her handling of the fires, impacting her public support and market price.

Spencer Pratt announces mayoral run on anniversary of Palisades wildfire

Spencer Pratt jumps to 32%14%

Reality‑TV star Spencer Pratt announced his candidacy at the one‑year anniversary of the 2025 Palisades fire that destroyed his home. His market price rose from 18 % on Jan 11 to a high of 32 % on May 9, reflecting growing voter attention.

Spencer Pratt announces candidacy for Los Angeles mayor at Palisades fire anniversary rally

Spencer Pratt jumps to 24%6%

Spencer Pratt, whose home was destroyed in the 2025 Palisades Fire, announced his run for mayor, criticizing the current leadership's wildfire response and pledging to expose systemic failures. This announcement marked his entry as a serious contender and shifted market expectations for his chances.

Spencer Pratt announces run for Los Angeles mayor following Palisades fire

Reality TV star Spencer Pratt declared his candidacy on the anniversary of the Palisades fire, focusing his campaign on public safety and criticizing city leadership, which increased his visibility and support.

Austin Beutner’s 22‑year‑old daughter dies; candidate withdraws from mayoral race

Austin Beutner plunges to 0%50%

Austin Beutner’s 22‑year‑old daughter died on Jan 6. The tragedy led Beutner to suspend his campaign, and his market price fell from 50 % on Feb 5 to 0 % by Feb 11, wiping out his odds completely.

Death of Austin Beutner's daughter leads to his withdrawal from mayoral race

Austin Beutner plunges to 0%50%

Austin Beutner withdrew from the mayoral race following the tragic death of his 22-year-old daughter, citing the need to focus on family. This withdrawal removed a significant challenger from the race, impacting market prices for his candidacy.

Adam Miller launches campaign with tech‑entrepreneur platform

Adam Miller plunges to 5%34%

AP noted Miller’s entry as a tech entrepreneur, giving him a brief surge that aligns with his price moving from 39% to 5% by Mar 12, reflecting initial enthusiasm then rapid decline.

Nithya Raman announces late entry into mayoral race, challenging Bass

Raman’s late candidacy was reported by AP, shifting voter attention and contributing to a price drop for Bass from 63% to 56% by Dec 19 and a rise for Raman later in the window.

Spencer Pratt’s home destroyed in Palisades fire, boosting his campaign visibility

Spencer Pratt jumps to 23%5%

Pratt’s loss of his home in the wildfire was highlighted in AP coverage, raising his name recognition and coinciding with a price rise from 18% to 23% by Jan 17, 2026.

Mayor Karen Bass faces criticism over wildfire response and city issues

Karen Bass drops to 53%9%

Karen Bass's market price declined from 62% to 53% amid ongoing criticism of her handling of the 2025 Palisades Fire recovery and homelessness. Reports and public dissatisfaction about slow rebuilding and city management contributed to her declining support.

Spencer Pratt launches viral campaign targeting Mayor Bass and city dysfunction

Spencer Pratt jumps to 26%8%

Spencer Pratt announced his mayoral campaign in January 2026, but his viral videos and populist messaging against homelessness and failed leadership began gaining traction in early December 2025, boosting his market price from 18% to 26%. His campaign emphasized a hardline stance on homelessness and criticized incumbent Karen Bass's wildfire response.

Mayor Karen Bass criticized for alleged interference in fire report after Palisades wildfire

Karen Bass drops to 57%6%

AP reported that Bass’s office denied allegations she pushed to soften the LAFD after‑action report on the deadly Palisades fire, sparking public backlash and a drop in her market price from 63% to 57% on Dec 11.

Karen Bass addresses Iranian protest in Los Angeles amid U-Haul truck incident

Karen Bass rises to 63%1%

Mayor Karen Bass spoke at an anti-Iranian regime protest in Los Angeles where a U-Haul truck drove into the crowd, causing chaos. Her presence and call for peaceful protest highlighted her leadership on community issues, slightly stabilizing her market position.

U-Haul truck incident at Los Angeles anti-Iranian regime protest draws attention

Karen Bass dips to 62%1%

A U-Haul truck drove into a crowd during an anti-Iranian regime protest in Los Angeles, leading to arrests and heightened media coverage. Mayor Karen Bass addressed the incident, emphasizing peaceful protest rights, which kept public focus on her leadership amid ongoing city tensions.

Los Angeles Labor Federation endorses Mayor Karen Bass for re‑election

Karen Bass surges to 61%31%

The Los Angeles County Federation of Labor endorsed incumbent Mayor Bass for re‑election, bolstering her support among union voters and helping her price rebound to 61 % by Jun 6 2026 after a low in Apr 2026.

Los Angeles Times reports on alleged edits to fire department report amid wildfire controversy

Karen Bass drops to 65%5%

The Los Angeles Times published reports alleging that drafts of the Los Angeles Fire Department’s after-action report were edited to soften criticism of city officials, including Mayor Bass. Bass's office denied these allegations, but the controversy kept scrutiny on her wildfire response, influencing market sentiment.

Community organizer Rae Huang challenges Mayor Bass, highlighting progressive Christian candidacy

Rae Huang, a progressive Christian pastor, entered the race challenging Karen Bass from the left, bringing new dynamics to the contest and reflecting broader political and cultural debates in Los Angeles.

Karen Bass’s support surges after wildfire recovery efforts and public statements

Karen Bass jumps to 73%12%

Following public statements and efforts addressing wildfire recovery, Karen Bass’s market price rose significantly, reflecting increased confidence in her leadership despite ongoing challenges.

Spencer Pratt launches viral campaign attacking Mayor Bass over wildfire response

Asaad Alnajjar plunges to 4%45%

Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt, whose home was destroyed in the Palisades Fire, launched a populist campaign criticizing Karen Bass's leadership and wildfire response. His viral videos and hardline stance on homelessness gained attention, causing a sharp drop in Asaad Alnajjar's market price and affecting Bass's standing.

Austin Beutner announces candidacy for Los Angeles mayor

Austin Beutner, former LAUSD superintendent and deputy mayor, officially announced his run for mayor, focusing on homelessness, safety, and criticizing city leadership post-wildfires. This entry introduced a prominent challenger to incumbent Karen Bass, impacting market perceptions.

Los Angeles mayoral race begins amid wildfire fallout and homelessness crisis

Karen Bass drops to 55%5%

Karen Bass faced reelection challenges due to criticism over her handling of the 2025 Palisades wildfire and ongoing city issues like homelessness. New candidates including Spencer Pratt and Adam Miller entered the race, intensifying competition and impacting market perceptions of Bass's chances.

Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass faces reelection challenges amid wildfire fallout

Karen Bass drops to 55%5%

Karen Bass's reelection campaign began under pressure due to criticism of her handling of the 2025 Palisades wildfire and related city issues. This news caused a temporary dip in her market price and a sharp drop for Asaad Alnajjar, reflecting shifting voter confidence.