Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors state Rep. Mayes Middleton at 78% to win the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff, reflecting his rising profile as a Trump-aligned conservative with strong Texas GOP grassroots support and fundraising momentum, while U.S. Rep. Chip Roy trails at 41.5% amid perceptions of stronger national focus over state-level electability. No notable developments have shifted odds in the past 30 days, as the 2026 primaries remain distant and incumbent Ken Paxton has signaled re-election intent despite ongoing securities fraud trial preparations. Early trader positioning anticipates competitive field dynamics, endorsements, and Paxton's legal uncertainties as key catalysts ahead of the March primary filing deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMayes Middleton
73%
Chip Roy
43%
Mayes Middleton
73%
Chip Roy
43%
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 4, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors state Rep. Mayes Middleton at 78% to win the Texas Attorney General Republican primary runoff, reflecting his rising profile as a Trump-aligned conservative with strong Texas GOP grassroots support and fundraising momentum, while U.S. Rep. Chip Roy trails at 41.5% amid perceptions of stronger national focus over state-level electability. No notable developments have shifted odds in the past 30 days, as the 2026 primaries remain distant and incumbent Ken Paxton has signaled re-election intent despite ongoing securities fraud trial preparations. Early trader positioning anticipates competitive field dynamics, endorsements, and Paxton's legal uncertainties as key catalysts ahead of the March primary filing deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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