Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding 93% trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary stems from his status as the first major candidate announcing on March 11 for Sen. Markwayne Mullin's open seat, triggered by Mullin's DHS secretary nomination, coupled with swift endorsements from President Trump on March 13, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and Sen. Tim Scott on March 19. Early polling from Pulse Decision Science shows Hern leading hypothetical matchups against Gov. Kevin Stitt (52%-40%) and Rep. Stephanie Bice (49%-37%), who declined to run. With candidate filing April 1-3 ahead of the June 16 primary, a high-profile entrant or unexpected scandal could erode his lead, though deep-red Oklahoma dynamics favor the endorsed frontrunner.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de la primaire du Sénat républicain de l'Oklahoma
Vainqueur de la primaire du Sénat républicain de l'Oklahoma
Kevin Hern 91%
Matt Pinnell 2.5%
Wayne Lonny Washington 1.7%
John M. O’Connor 1.5%
$10,833 Vol.
$10,833 Vol.
Kevin Hern
91%
Matt Pinnell
3%
Wayne Lonny Washington
2%
John M. O’Connor
2%
Nick Hankins
2%
Stephanie Bice
1%
Markwayne Mullin
1%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Tammy Swearengin
1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
Kevin Hern 91%
Matt Pinnell 2.5%
Wayne Lonny Washington 1.7%
John M. O’Connor 1.5%
$10,833 Vol.
$10,833 Vol.
Kevin Hern
91%
Matt Pinnell
3%
Wayne Lonny Washington
2%
John M. O’Connor
2%
Nick Hankins
2%
Stephanie Bice
1%
Markwayne Mullin
1%
Ron Meinhardt
1%
Tammy Swearengin
1%
Donelle Harder
<1%
If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 5, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no 2026 Oklahoma Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rep. Kevin Hern's commanding 93% trader consensus in the Oklahoma Republican U.S. Senate primary stems from his status as the first major candidate announcing on March 11 for Sen. Markwayne Mullin's open seat, triggered by Mullin's DHS secretary nomination, coupled with swift endorsements from President Trump on March 13, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, and Sen. Tim Scott on March 19. Early polling from Pulse Decision Science shows Hern leading hypothetical matchups against Gov. Kevin Stitt (52%-40%) and Rep. Stephanie Bice (49%-37%), who declined to run. With candidate filing April 1-3 ahead of the June 16 primary, a high-profile entrant or unexpected scandal could erode his lead, though deep-red Oklahoma dynamics favor the endorsed frontrunner.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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