Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Barry Moore at 89.5% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his widening polling lead in the open seat race following Sen. Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid. A Peak Insights survey from April 11-13 showed Moore at 34% among likely Republican voters, doubling Attorney General Steve Marshall's 16% and outsider Jared Hudson's 12%, with Moore dominating a hypothetical runoff 47%-27%. His early Trump endorsement, additional backing from Senate leaders like John Thune, competitive fundraising, and House incumbency advantage have consolidated support, though high undecideds and a potential runoff leave room for shifts from late ads or endorsements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBarry Moore 90%
Jared Hudson 7.1%
Steve Marshall 3.1%
Morgan Murphy <1%
$58,015 Vol.
$58,015 Vol.
Barry Moore
90%
Jared Hudson
7%
Steve Marshall
3%
Morgan Murphy
1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
Barry Moore 90%
Jared Hudson 7.1%
Steve Marshall 3.1%
Morgan Murphy <1%
$58,015 Vol.
$58,015 Vol.
Barry Moore
90%
Jared Hudson
7%
Steve Marshall
3%
Morgan Murphy
1%
Rodney Walker
<1%
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors U.S. Rep. Barry Moore at 89.5% implied probability to win Alabama's Republican U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by his widening polling lead in the open seat race following Sen. Tommy Tuberville's gubernatorial bid. A Peak Insights survey from April 11-13 showed Moore at 34% among likely Republican voters, doubling Attorney General Steve Marshall's 16% and outsider Jared Hudson's 12%, with Moore dominating a hypothetical runoff 47%-27%. His early Trump endorsement, additional backing from Senate leaders like John Thune, competitive fundraising, and House incumbency advantage have consolidated support, though high undecideds and a potential runoff leave room for shifts from late ads or endorsements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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