Jo Rae Perkins commands 59.5% implied probability as the Oregon Republican US Senate primary frontrunner on Polymarket, driven by recent polling leads and enduring name recognition from her 2020 nomination, which appeals to the GOP base in this low-turnout contest. State Sen. David Brock Smith trails at 29.1% despite establishment endorsements and stronger fundraising, as surveys like the April RMG Research poll underscore Perkins' edge among likely primary voters amid high undecideds. With the May 21 primary looming, late momentum from endorsements, debates, or turnout in rural strongholds could tip the balance, but trader consensus favors Perkins' path reflecting historical base dominance in Oregon GOP primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourJo Rae Perkins 53%
David Brock Smith 35.1%
Russell McAlmond 4.7%
Joe Johnson 3.5%
$19,270 Vol.
$19,270 Vol.
Jo Rae Perkins
60%
David Brock Smith
29%
Russell McAlmond
5%
Joe Johnson
4%
David Burch
1%
Tim Skelton
1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
Jo Rae Perkins 53%
David Brock Smith 35.1%
Russell McAlmond 4.7%
Joe Johnson 3.5%
$19,270 Vol.
$19,270 Vol.
Jo Rae Perkins
60%
David Brock Smith
29%
Russell McAlmond
5%
Joe Johnson
4%
David Burch
1%
Tim Skelton
1%
Douglas T. Muck Jr.
<1%
If no 2026 Oregon Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jo Rae Perkins commands 59.5% implied probability as the Oregon Republican US Senate primary frontrunner on Polymarket, driven by recent polling leads and enduring name recognition from her 2020 nomination, which appeals to the GOP base in this low-turnout contest. State Sen. David Brock Smith trails at 29.1% despite establishment endorsements and stronger fundraising, as surveys like the April RMG Research poll underscore Perkins' edge among likely primary voters amid high undecideds. With the May 21 primary looming, late momentum from endorsements, debates, or turnout in rural strongholds could tip the balance, but trader consensus favors Perkins' path reflecting historical base dominance in Oregon GOP primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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