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Politique·Midterms

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politique·Midterms

IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner

André Carson 96.8%

Destiny Scott Wells 1.4%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.3%

George Hornedo <1%

Polymarket

$12,301 Vol.

André Carson 96.8%

Destiny Scott Wells 1.4%

Denise Paul Hatch 1.3%

George Hornedo <1%

Polymarket

$12,301 Vol.

André Carson

$5,267 Vol.

97%

Destiny Scott Wells

$401 Vol.

1%

Denise Paul Hatch

$5,918 Vol.

1%

George Hornedo

$715 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson's commanding 96.8% implied probability in the IN-07 Democratic primary stems from his 18-year hold on the safely Democratic Indianapolis district, including an 85-point 2024 primary win and superior fundraising with $646,000 cash on hand at year-end 2025 versus challengers' lower totals. Recent voter guides from outlets like IndyStar and Indiana Capital Chronicle, plus a Q&A with challenger Denise Paul Hatch this week, spotlight credible opponents—Army Lt. Col. Destiny Wells, strategist George Hornedo, and former constable Hatch—but highlight their limited traction amid Carson's secured federal funding and committee seniority. With the May 5 primary three weeks away and no polls signaling an upset, trader consensus reflects incumbency advantages in low-turnout races; shifts could arise from a late scandal, major endorsement, or anti-establishment surge.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,301
Date de fin
5 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. André Carson's commanding 96.8% implied probability in the IN-07 Democratic primary stems from his 18-year hold on the safely Democratic Indianapolis district, including an 85-point 2024 primary win and superior fundraising with $646,000 cash on hand at year-end 2025 versus challengers' lower totals. Recent voter guides from outlets like IndyStar and Indiana Capital Chronicle, plus a Q&A with challenger Denise Paul Hatch this week, spotlight credible opponents—Army Lt. Col. Destiny Wells, strategist George Hornedo, and former constable Hatch—but highlight their limited traction amid Carson's secured federal funding and committee seniority. With the May 5 primary three weeks away and no polls signaling an upset, trader consensus reflects incumbency advantages in low-turnout races; shifts could arise from a late scandal, major endorsement, or anti-establishment surge.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,301
Date de fin
5 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « André Carson » à 97%, suivi de « Destiny Scott Wells » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 97¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner » a généré $12.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 20, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner » est « André Carson » à 97%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 97% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Destiny Scott Wells » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « IN-07 Democratic Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.