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Politique·Élection Américaine

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

Market icon
Politique·Élection Américaine

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

19% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
19% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Missouri Amendment 3, certified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after legislative referral in 2025, seeks to repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom while prohibiting most abortions except in limited cases like medical emergencies or rape/incest up to 12 weeks, requiring parental consent for minors' abortions, and banning gender transition surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers for those under 18. A February 2026 SLU/YouGov poll showed only 47% support among likely voters, with opponents vastly outspending proponents in fundraising through late 2025, anchoring trader consensus at 85% against passage despite a March 17 poll highlighting the transgender care ban as a key appeal booster and Catholic bishops' endorsement on March 26. The 2024 pro-abortion rights victory (52%) underscores the uphill battle amid strong opposition from groups like Planned Parenthood.

Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Volume
$344
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).Missouri Amendment 3, certified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after legislative referral in 2025, seeks to repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom while prohibiting most abortions except in limited cases like medical emergencies or rape/incest up to 12 weeks, requiring parental consent for minors' abortions, and banning gender transition surgeries, cross-sex hormones, and puberty blockers for those under 18. A February 2026 SLU/YouGov poll showed only 47% support among likely voters, with opponents vastly outspending proponents in fundraising through late 2025, anchoring trader consensus at 85% against passage despite a March 17 poll highlighting the transgender care ban as a key appeal booster and Catholic bishops' endorsement on March 26. The 2024 pro-abortion rights victory (52%) underscores the uphill battle amid strong opposition from groups like Planned Parenthood.

Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).
Volume
$344
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 2, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Missouri voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Amendment 3) which, if passed, would repeal the constitutional right to reproductive freedom, prohibit most abortions, and prohibit gender transition surgeries for minors. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Missouri Amendment 3, the Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment, passes according to Missouri election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Amendment 3 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Missouri, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Missouri, specifically the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov).

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« Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Mar 2, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

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La probabilité actuelle pour « Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass? » est de 15% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 15% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

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