Montana's Republican-leaning electorate and the open Senate seat favor GOP nominee Kurt Alme, whose consistent leads in recent polls position him as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Post-primary surveys from July show Alme at 41-49% support, ahead of independent Seth Bodnar at 24-27% and Democrat Alani Bankhead at 22-26%, reflecting the state's historical voting patterns and limited Democratic crossover to the independent. Steve Daines's late withdrawal and endorsement of Alme secured the Republican nomination with minimal primary opposition, while Bodnar's independent bid has drawn some attention but failed to close the gap in voter surveys. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these polling trends and the absence of major late shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRépublicain 84%
Indépendant 15.8%
Démocrate <1%
$101,292 Vol.
$101,292 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
84%
Indépendant
16%
Démocrate
1%
Républicain 84%
Indépendant 15.8%
Démocrate <1%
$101,292 Vol.
$101,292 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$51,664 Vol.
84%
Indépendant
$11,180 Vol.
16%
Démocrate
$38,448 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana's Republican-leaning electorate and the open Senate seat favor GOP nominee Kurt Alme, whose consistent leads in recent polls position him as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Post-primary surveys from July show Alme at 41-49% support, ahead of independent Seth Bodnar at 24-27% and Democrat Alani Bankhead at 22-26%, reflecting the state's historical voting patterns and limited Democratic crossover to the independent. Steve Daines's late withdrawal and endorsement of Alme secured the Republican nomination with minimal primary opposition, while Bodnar's independent bid has drawn some attention but failed to close the gap in voter surveys. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these polling trends and the absence of major late shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$101,292Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana's Republican-leaning electorate and the open Senate seat favor GOP nominee Kurt Alme, whose consistent leads in recent polls position him as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Post-primary surveys from July show Alme at 41-49% support, ahead of independent Seth Bodnar at 24-27% and Democrat Alani Bankhead at 22-26%, reflecting the state's historical voting patterns and limited Democratic crossover to the independent. Steve Daines's late withdrawal and endorsement of Alme secured the Republican nomination with minimal primary opposition, while Bodnar's independent bid has drawn some attention but failed to close the gap in voter surveys. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these polling trends and the absence of major late shifts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$101,292Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana's Republican-leaning electorate and the open Senate seat favor GOP nominee Kurt Alme, whose consistent leads in recent polls position him as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Post-primary surveys from July show Alme at 41-49% support, ahead of independent Seth Bodnar at 24-27% and Democrat Alani Bankhead at 22-26%, reflecting the state's historical voting patterns and limited Democratic crossover to the independent. Steve Daines's late withdrawal and endorsement of Alme secured the Republican nomination with minimal primary opposition, while Bodnar's independent bid has drawn some attention but failed to close the gap in voter surveys. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these polling trends and the absence of major late shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes