In California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces primary challenger Eric Jones, a well-funded progressive businessman who has raised more than Thompson as of late March, while six Republicans and one independent fragment the GOP vote in this safe Democratic seat reshaped by 2025 redistricting. The Sacramento Bee endorsed Thompson on May 3 for his decades of experience on local issues like agriculture, water rights, and taxes, contrasting Jones's relative inexperience amid minor backlash earlier this year. Mail ballots began arriving May 4, with voter registration closing May 18 and voting centers opening May 23; top two vote-getters advance to November regardless of party, potentially pitting both Democrats against each other if Republicans split.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$23,059 Vol.
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
92%
Trevor Merrell
12%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
7%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
$23,059 Vol.
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
92%
Trevor Merrell
12%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
7%
Sharon Brown
6%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
4%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson faces primary challenger Eric Jones, a well-funded progressive businessman who has raised more than Thompson as of late March, while six Republicans and one independent fragment the GOP vote in this safe Democratic seat reshaped by 2025 redistricting. The Sacramento Bee endorsed Thompson on May 3 for his decades of experience on local issues like agriculture, water rights, and taxes, contrasting Jones's relative inexperience amid minor backlash earlier this year. Mail ballots began arriving May 4, with voter registration closing May 18 and voting centers opening May 23; top two vote-getters advance to November regardless of party, potentially pitting both Democrats against each other if Republicans split.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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