Trader consensus prices "No" at 63.5% for the billionaire one-time wealth tax passing in California's 2026 election, reflecting steep hurdles in qualifying the ballot initiative and securing voter approval. The measure, filed with the Secretary of State in late 2024 by activist groups seeking a 1% levy on net worth over $50 million to fund housing and education, has seen no signature collection progress in the past 30 days and requires 546,651 valid signatures by July 21, 2026. Recent November 2024 ballot results—passage of Prop 36 (tough-on-crime) and rejection of Prop 30 (EV tax subsidy)—highlight voter resistance to new taxes amid business opposition and fears of wealthy exodus, underscoring the uncertain path ahead despite Democratic legislative dominance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$2,771,046 Vol.
$2,771,046 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Oui
$2,771,046 Vol.
$2,771,046 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 63.5% for the billionaire one-time wealth tax passing in California's 2026 election, reflecting steep hurdles in qualifying the ballot initiative and securing voter approval. The measure, filed with the Secretary of State in late 2024 by activist groups seeking a 1% levy on net worth over $50 million to fund housing and education, has seen no signature collection progress in the past 30 days and requires 546,651 valid signatures by July 21, 2026. Recent November 2024 ballot results—passage of Prop 36 (tough-on-crime) and rejection of Prop 30 (EV tax subsidy)—highlight voter resistance to new taxes amid business opposition and fears of wealthy exodus, underscoring the uncertain path ahead despite Democratic legislative dominance.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Volume
$2,771,046Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 63.5% for the billionaire one-time wealth tax passing in California's 2026 election, reflecting steep hurdles in qualifying the ballot initiative and securing voter approval. The measure, filed with the Secretary of State in late 2024 by activist groups seeking a 1% levy on net worth over $50 million to fund housing and education, has seen no signature collection progress in the past 30 days and requires 546,651 valid signatures by July 21, 2026. Recent November 2024 ballot results—passage of Prop 36 (tough-on-crime) and rejection of Prop 30 (EV tax subsidy)—highlight voter resistance to new taxes amid business opposition and fears of wealthy exodus, underscoring the uncertain path ahead despite Democratic legislative dominance.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,771,046Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 63.5% for the billionaire one-time wealth tax passing in California's 2026 election, reflecting steep hurdles in qualifying the ballot initiative and securing voter approval. The measure, filed with the Secretary of State in late 2024 by activist groups seeking a 1% levy on net worth over $50 million to fund housing and education, has seen no signature collection progress in the past 30 days and requires 546,651 valid signatures by July 21, 2026. Recent November 2024 ballot results—passage of Prop 36 (tough-on-crime) and rejection of Prop 30 (EV tax subsidy)—highlight voter resistance to new taxes amid business opposition and fears of wealthy exodus, underscoring the uncertain path ahead despite Democratic legislative dominance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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