Trader consensus favors "No" at 65% for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act—a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires' net worth exceeding $1 billion—reflecting skepticism over its passage despite a UC Berkeley poll on March 19 showing 52% support amid a sharp partisan divide and 15% undecided voters. Heavy opposition spending, including Google co-founder Sergey Brin's $45 million to super PACs backing competing ballot measures, has intensified since mid-March, complicating the pro-tax campaign's signature drive, which reached only 25% of the required 874,641 by early March. Legal challenges citing due process violations and warnings of capital flight further bolster doubts ahead of the July signature deadline and November election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$2,777,114 Vol.
$2,777,114 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Oui
$2,777,114 Vol.
$2,777,114 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 65% for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act—a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires' net worth exceeding $1 billion—reflecting skepticism over its passage despite a UC Berkeley poll on March 19 showing 52% support amid a sharp partisan divide and 15% undecided voters. Heavy opposition spending, including Google co-founder Sergey Brin's $45 million to super PACs backing competing ballot measures, has intensified since mid-March, complicating the pro-tax campaign's signature drive, which reached only 25% of the required 874,641 by early March. Legal challenges citing due process violations and warnings of capital flight further bolster doubts ahead of the July signature deadline and November election.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Volume
$2,777,114Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 65% for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act—a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires' net worth exceeding $1 billion—reflecting skepticism over its passage despite a UC Berkeley poll on March 19 showing 52% support amid a sharp partisan divide and 15% undecided voters. Heavy opposition spending, including Google co-founder Sergey Brin's $45 million to super PACs backing competing ballot measures, has intensified since mid-March, complicating the pro-tax campaign's signature drive, which reached only 25% of the required 874,641 by early March. Legal challenges citing due process violations and warnings of capital flight further bolster doubts ahead of the July signature deadline and November election.
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,777,114Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 65% for the 2026 Billionaire Tax Act—a proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on California billionaires' net worth exceeding $1 billion—reflecting skepticism over its passage despite a UC Berkeley poll on March 19 showing 52% support amid a sharp partisan divide and 15% undecided voters. Heavy opposition spending, including Google co-founder Sergey Brin's $45 million to super PACs backing competing ballot measures, has intensified since mid-March, complicating the pro-tax campaign's signature drive, which reached only 25% of the required 874,641 by early March. Legal challenges citing due process violations and warnings of capital flight further bolster doubts ahead of the July signature deadline and November election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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