With the April 12 parliamentary election eight days away, trader consensus clusters around Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 120–130 seats in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting independent polls showing Tisza leading Fidesz by 19–23 points among likely voters as of April 1, yet tempered by government-aligned surveys projecting Fidesz retaining a majority via dominance in rural single-member districts. Recent catalysts include Tisza's widening lead in opposition-leaning polls amid youth turnout surges and corruption allegations against Viktor Orbán's administration, contrasted by Fidesz's media control and gerrymandered constituencies favoring incumbents. Undecided voters (around 25%) and the mixed first-past-the-post/proportional system keep the race tight; high urban mobilization could push Tisza past 130, while Fidesz rural strength risks capping it below 110.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
# of seats won by TISZA in Hungary parliamentary election?
130+ 26%
120-129 25%
110–119 15%
100–109 14%
$1,377,357 Vol.
$1,377,357 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
<70
2%
70–79
8%
80–89
7%
90–99
11%
100–109
14%
110–119
15%
120-129
25%
130+
26%
130+ 26%
120-129 25%
110–119 15%
100–109 14%
$1,377,357 Vol.
$1,377,357 Vol.
12 avr. 2026
<70
$616,301 Vol.
2%
70–79
$224,980 Vol.
8%
80–89
$402,426 Vol.
7%
90–99
$19,257 Vol.
11%
100–109
$25,511 Vol.
14%
110–119
$13,692 Vol.
15%
120-129
$13,564 Vol.
25%
130+
$61,627 Vol.
26%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With the April 12 parliamentary election eight days away, trader consensus clusters around Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 120–130 seats in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting independent polls showing Tisza leading Fidesz by 19–23 points among likely voters as of April 1, yet tempered by government-aligned surveys projecting Fidesz retaining a majority via dominance in rural single-member districts. Recent catalysts include Tisza's widening lead in opposition-leaning polls amid youth turnout surges and corruption allegations against Viktor Orbán's administration, contrasted by Fidesz's media control and gerrymandered constituencies favoring incumbents. Undecided voters (around 25%) and the mixed first-past-the-post/proportional system keep the race tight; high urban mobilization could push Tisza past 130, while Fidesz rural strength risks capping it below 110.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,377,357Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With the April 12 parliamentary election eight days away, trader consensus clusters around Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 120–130 seats in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting independent polls showing Tisza leading Fidesz by 19–23 points among likely voters as of April 1, yet tempered by government-aligned surveys projecting Fidesz retaining a majority via dominance in rural single-member districts. Recent catalysts include Tisza's widening lead in opposition-leaning polls amid youth turnout surges and corruption allegations against Viktor Orbán's administration, contrasted by Fidesz's media control and gerrymandered constituencies favoring incumbents. Undecided voters (around 25%) and the mixed first-past-the-post/proportional system keep the race tight; high urban mobilization could push Tisza past 130, while Fidesz rural strength risks capping it below 110.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by TISZA in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
For parties that contest some seats jointly with another party, including as part of a joint national party list, the number of seats won by the specified party will be determined based on a consensus of credible reporting. If necessary, official information identifying the party affiliation of specific elected candidates, including candidate registration records, parliamentary party member lists, and similar official sources, will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$1,377,357Date de fin
12 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 13, 2026, 1:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the April 12 parliamentary election eight days away, trader consensus clusters around Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 120–130 seats in Hungary's 199-seat National Assembly, reflecting independent polls showing Tisza leading Fidesz by 19–23 points among likely voters as of April 1, yet tempered by government-aligned surveys projecting Fidesz retaining a majority via dominance in rural single-member districts. Recent catalysts include Tisza's widening lead in opposition-leaning polls amid youth turnout surges and corruption allegations against Viktor Orbán's administration, contrasted by Fidesz's media control and gerrymandered constituencies favoring incumbents. Undecided voters (around 25%) and the mixed first-past-the-post/proportional system keep the race tight; high urban mobilization could push Tisza past 130, while Fidesz rural strength risks capping it below 110.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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