Virginia traders price a 74% implied probability on approval of a new Democratic-proposed congressional map for the 2026 midterms, driven by the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum that would empower the General Assembly to enact it temporarily through 2030. Recent polls reflect a narrow Yes edge—Washington Post/Schar School (late March) at 52% Yes among likely voters, Quantus Insights (April 16) at 51% Yes even after disclosing the map's projected 10D-1R lean—bolstering optimism despite higher early voting turnout in Republican-held districts and GOP mobilization. The Virginia Supreme Court's February 13 ruling cleared legal hurdles after an initial judicial block, solidifying the path if voters affirm the change from the current competitive commission-drawn map.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
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NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia traders price a 74% implied probability on approval of a new Democratic-proposed congressional map for the 2026 midterms, driven by the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum that would empower the General Assembly to enact it temporarily through 2030. Recent polls reflect a narrow Yes edge—Washington Post/Schar School (late March) at 52% Yes among likely voters, Quantus Insights (April 16) at 51% Yes even after disclosing the map's projected 10D-1R lean—bolstering optimism despite higher early voting turnout in Republican-held districts and GOP mobilization. The Virginia Supreme Court's February 13 ruling cleared legal hurdles after an initial judicial block, solidifying the path if voters affirm the change from the current competitive commission-drawn map.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Volume
$686Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia traders price a 74% implied probability on approval of a new Democratic-proposed congressional map for the 2026 midterms, driven by the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum that would empower the General Assembly to enact it temporarily through 2030. Recent polls reflect a narrow Yes edge—Washington Post/Schar School (late March) at 52% Yes among likely voters, Quantus Insights (April 16) at 51% Yes even after disclosing the map's projected 10D-1R lean—bolstering optimism despite higher early voting turnout in Republican-held districts and GOP mobilization. The Virginia Supreme Court's February 13 ruling cleared legal hurdles after an initial judicial block, solidifying the path if voters affirm the change from the current competitive commission-drawn map.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$686Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia traders price a 74% implied probability on approval of a new Democratic-proposed congressional map for the 2026 midterms, driven by the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum that would empower the General Assembly to enact it temporarily through 2030. Recent polls reflect a narrow Yes edge—Washington Post/Schar School (late March) at 52% Yes among likely voters, Quantus Insights (April 16) at 51% Yes even after disclosing the map's projected 10D-1R lean—bolstering optimism despite higher early voting turnout in Republican-held districts and GOP mobilization. The Virginia Supreme Court's February 13 ruling cleared legal hurdles after an initial judicial block, solidifying the path if voters affirm the change from the current competitive commission-drawn map.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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