Virginia's divided General Assembly—Republican House of Delegates and Democratic state Senate—failed to enact a new congressional map during the 2024 legislative session ending in March, leaving the 2022 special master map as the default for November midterms. However, trader consensus prices "Yes" at 77% implied probability for a new map amid ongoing federal Section 2 Voting Rights Act litigation alleging the current districts dilute Black voting power in competitive areas like Richmond suburbs. A three-judge federal panel recently set trial for spring 2025 and denied preliminary relief, but uncertainty persists over potential appeals or extraordinary interventions before early voting accelerates, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on judicial shifts despite Virginia Supreme Court affirmation of the status quo.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
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Nov 3, 2026
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Nov 3, 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia's divided General Assembly—Republican House of Delegates and Democratic state Senate—failed to enact a new congressional map during the 2024 legislative session ending in March, leaving the 2022 special master map as the default for November midterms. However, trader consensus prices "Yes" at 77% implied probability for a new map amid ongoing federal Section 2 Voting Rights Act litigation alleging the current districts dilute Black voting power in competitive areas like Richmond suburbs. A three-judge federal panel recently set trial for spring 2025 and denied preliminary relief, but uncertainty persists over potential appeals or extraordinary interventions before early voting accelerates, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on judicial shifts despite Virginia Supreme Court affirmation of the status quo.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia's divided General Assembly—Republican House of Delegates and Democratic state Senate—failed to enact a new congressional map during the 2024 legislative session ending in March, leaving the 2022 special master map as the default for November midterms. However, trader consensus prices "Yes" at 77% implied probability for a new map amid ongoing federal Section 2 Voting Rights Act litigation alleging the current districts dilute Black voting power in competitive areas like Richmond suburbs. A three-judge federal panel recently set trial for spring 2025 and denied preliminary relief, but uncertainty persists over potential appeals or extraordinary interventions before early voting accelerates, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on judicial shifts despite Virginia Supreme Court affirmation of the status quo.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia's divided General Assembly—Republican House of Delegates and Democratic state Senate—failed to enact a new congressional map during the 2024 legislative session ending in March, leaving the 2022 special master map as the default for November midterms. However, trader consensus prices "Yes" at 77% implied probability for a new map amid ongoing federal Section 2 Voting Rights Act litigation alleging the current districts dilute Black voting power in competitive areas like Richmond suburbs. A three-judge federal panel recently set trial for spring 2025 and denied preliminary relief, but uncertainty persists over potential appeals or extraordinary interventions before early voting accelerates, reflecting skin-in-the-game bets on judicial shifts despite Virginia Supreme Court affirmation of the status quo.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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