Incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown holds a slim edge in the latest polling averages over Republican challenger Bernie Moreno in this Ohio swing state battleground, where traders price Democrats at 53.5% amid high uncertainty just weeks from Election Day. Brown's long-standing appeal to union workers and independents on manufacturing and opioid issues sustains his narrow leads in recent surveys like NYT/Siena (50-46) and Remington (49-46), despite Ohio's rightward shift—Trump won by 8 points in 2020—and GOP attacks tying Brown to national inflation woes. Moreno benefits from Trump endorsements and outsider energy, but lacks incumbency; surging early voting and potential coattails from the presidential race keep it tight, with turnout in key battleground counties pivotal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$59,001 Vol.
$59,001 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
54%
Républicain
47%
$59,001 Vol.
$59,001 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
$33,935 Vol.
54%
Républicain
$25,066 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown holds a slim edge in the latest polling averages over Republican challenger Bernie Moreno in this Ohio swing state battleground, where traders price Democrats at 53.5% amid high uncertainty just weeks from Election Day. Brown's long-standing appeal to union workers and independents on manufacturing and opioid issues sustains his narrow leads in recent surveys like NYT/Siena (50-46) and Remington (49-46), despite Ohio's rightward shift—Trump won by 8 points in 2020—and GOP attacks tying Brown to national inflation woes. Moreno benefits from Trump endorsements and outsider energy, but lacks incumbency; surging early voting and potential coattails from the presidential race keep it tight, with turnout in key battleground counties pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Volume
$59,001Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown holds a slim edge in the latest polling averages over Republican challenger Bernie Moreno in this Ohio swing state battleground, where traders price Democrats at 53.5% amid high uncertainty just weeks from Election Day. Brown's long-standing appeal to union workers and independents on manufacturing and opioid issues sustains his narrow leads in recent surveys like NYT/Siena (50-46) and Remington (49-46), despite Ohio's rightward shift—Trump won by 8 points in 2020—and GOP attacks tying Brown to national inflation woes. Moreno benefits from Trump endorsements and outsider energy, but lacks incumbency; surging early voting and potential coattails from the presidential race keep it tight, with turnout in key battleground counties pivotal.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$59,001Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown holds a slim edge in the latest polling averages over Republican challenger Bernie Moreno in this Ohio swing state battleground, where traders price Democrats at 53.5% amid high uncertainty just weeks from Election Day. Brown's long-standing appeal to union workers and independents on manufacturing and opioid issues sustains his narrow leads in recent surveys like NYT/Siena (50-46) and Remington (49-46), despite Ohio's rightward shift—Trump won by 8 points in 2020—and GOP attacks tying Brown to national inflation woes. Moreno benefits from Trump endorsements and outsider energy, but lacks incumbency; surging early voting and potential coattails from the presidential race keep it tight, with turnout in key battleground counties pivotal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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