Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 82% in the open Michigan U.S. Senate race, reflecting recent polling averages showing Democratic contenders holding slim leads over presumed Republican nominee Mike Rogers in key general election matchups. The latest Emerson College survey from late January— the most recent major poll—found Rep. Haley Stevens ahead 47%-42% and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow 46%-43% against Rogers, with Dr. Abdul El-Sayed tied; RCP aggregates confirm a slight Democratic edge in Stevens scenarios (+1.3%) amid a crowded primary where McMorrow leads at 24%. Rogers, the 2024 nominee who lost narrowly to Elissa Slotkin, remains the GOP frontrunner with Trump backing, but traders factor in midterm headwinds for President Trump's party and strong Democratic fundraising, especially Stevens. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the August 4 primary poised to clarify nominees.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
$22,435 Vol.
$22,435 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
82%
Républicain
18%
$22,435 Vol.
$22,435 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
$0 Vol.
82%
Républicain
$22,435 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 82% in the open Michigan U.S. Senate race, reflecting recent polling averages showing Democratic contenders holding slim leads over presumed Republican nominee Mike Rogers in key general election matchups. The latest Emerson College survey from late January— the most recent major poll—found Rep. Haley Stevens ahead 47%-42% and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow 46%-43% against Rogers, with Dr. Abdul El-Sayed tied; RCP aggregates confirm a slight Democratic edge in Stevens scenarios (+1.3%) amid a crowded primary where McMorrow leads at 24%. Rogers, the 2024 nominee who lost narrowly to Elissa Slotkin, remains the GOP frontrunner with Trump backing, but traders factor in midterm headwinds for President Trump's party and strong Democratic fundraising, especially Stevens. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the August 4 primary poised to clarify nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$22,435Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 82% in the open Michigan U.S. Senate race, reflecting recent polling averages showing Democratic contenders holding slim leads over presumed Republican nominee Mike Rogers in key general election matchups. The latest Emerson College survey from late January— the most recent major poll—found Rep. Haley Stevens ahead 47%-42% and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow 46%-43% against Rogers, with Dr. Abdul El-Sayed tied; RCP aggregates confirm a slight Democratic edge in Stevens scenarios (+1.3%) amid a crowded primary where McMorrow leads at 24%. Rogers, the 2024 nominee who lost narrowly to Elissa Slotkin, remains the GOP frontrunner with Trump backing, but traders factor in midterm headwinds for President Trump's party and strong Democratic fundraising, especially Stevens. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the August 4 primary poised to clarify nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$22,435Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 82% in the open Michigan U.S. Senate race, reflecting recent polling averages showing Democratic contenders holding slim leads over presumed Republican nominee Mike Rogers in key general election matchups. The latest Emerson College survey from late January— the most recent major poll—found Rep. Haley Stevens ahead 47%-42% and state Sen. Mallory McMorrow 46%-43% against Rogers, with Dr. Abdul El-Sayed tied; RCP aggregates confirm a slight Democratic edge in Stevens scenarios (+1.3%) amid a crowded primary where McMorrow leads at 24%. Rogers, the 2024 nominee who lost narrowly to Elissa Slotkin, remains the GOP frontrunner with Trump backing, but traders factor in midterm headwinds for President Trump's party and strong Democratic fundraising, especially Stevens. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with the August 4 primary poised to clarify nominees.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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