Michigan's ballot proposal to authorize lawmakers to call a constitutional convention for rewriting the state constitution holds even trader consensus at 50% Yes odds ahead of the November 5 general election. The Board of State Canvassers certified the Republican-backed measure last week after validating over 400,000 signatures, dismissing Democratic legal challenges and spurring ad campaigns from both sides. Polls show No leading 40-45% to Yes 30-35% with high undecideds, but markets diverge higher on Yes amid battleground turnout uncertainties, GOP base mobilization for redistricting reforms, and Democratic warnings of unchecked changes. Tipping points include fresh polling, early voting data, endorsements, and national election coattails influencing independent voters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan's ballot proposal to authorize lawmakers to call a constitutional convention for rewriting the state constitution holds even trader consensus at 50% Yes odds ahead of the November 5 general election. The Board of State Canvassers certified the Republican-backed measure last week after validating over 400,000 signatures, dismissing Democratic legal challenges and spurring ad campaigns from both sides. Polls show No leading 40-45% to Yes 30-35% with high undecideds, but markets diverge higher on Yes amid battleground turnout uncertainties, GOP base mobilization for redistricting reforms, and Democratic warnings of unchecked changes. Tipping points include fresh polling, early voting data, endorsements, and national election coattails influencing independent voters.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes