Incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur's fundraising dominance, with over $1.7 million cash on hand, and unopposed Democratic primary position her strongly for the November 3 general election, fueling trader consensus at 61% for a Democratic hold in Ohio's 9th District despite 2025 redistricting shifting the seat to R+5 on the Cook PVI and Trump winning it by 11 points in 2024. A crowded Republican primary on May 5 features state Rep. Derek Merrin, former ICE deputy Madison Sheahan, and others, potentially yielding a nominee vulnerable after Merrin's narrow 2024 loss to Kaptur. Mixed ratings—Cook Toss Up, Sabato Lean Republican—underscore the battleground dynamics ahead of the primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-09
Gagnant de l'élection à la Chambre OH-09
$19,668 Vol.
$19,668 Vol.
Parti démocrate
60%
Parti républicain
36%
$19,668 Vol.
$19,668 Vol.
Parti démocrate
60%
Parti républicain
36%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur's fundraising dominance, with over $1.7 million cash on hand, and unopposed Democratic primary position her strongly for the November 3 general election, fueling trader consensus at 61% for a Democratic hold in Ohio's 9th District despite 2025 redistricting shifting the seat to R+5 on the Cook PVI and Trump winning it by 11 points in 2024. A crowded Republican primary on May 5 features state Rep. Derek Merrin, former ICE deputy Madison Sheahan, and others, potentially yielding a nominee vulnerable after Merrin's narrow 2024 loss to Kaptur. Mixed ratings—Cook Toss Up, Sabato Lean Republican—underscore the battleground dynamics ahead of the primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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