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PA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre

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PA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Parti républicain

$0 Vol.

93%

Parti démocrate

$0 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% to retain Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by Cook Political Report. Joyce, first elected in 2018 and reelected decisively over the same Democratic challenger Beth Farnham in 2024, announced his reelection bid in late January with a high-profile endorsement from President Trump, reinforcing his appeal among core GOP voters in this rural central Pennsylvania district spanning Adams, Bedford, and Franklin counties. With no serious primary challengers expected ahead of the May 19 primaries and candidate filing deadlines passing uneventfully on March 11, the race lacks competitive dynamics. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal involving Joyce, an unexpected Democratic recruit supplanting Farnham, or broader national midterm momentum favoring Democrats.

Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% to retain Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by Cook Political Report. Joyce, first elected in 2018 and reelected decisively over the same Democratic challenger Beth Farnham in 2024, announced his reelection bid in late January with a high-profile endorsement from President Trump, reinforcing his appeal among core GOP voters in this rural central Pennsylvania district spanning Adams, Bedford, and Franklin counties. With no serious primary challengers expected ahead of the May 19 primaries and candidate filing deadlines passing uneventfully on March 11, the race lacks competitive dynamics. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal involving Joyce, an unexpected Democratic recruit supplanting Farnham, or broader national midterm momentum favoring Democrats.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% to retain Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by Cook Political Report. Joyce, first elected in 2018 and reelected decisively over the same Democratic challenger Beth Farnham in 2024, announced his reelection bid in late January with a high-profile endorsement from President Trump, reinforcing his appeal among core GOP voters in this rural central Pennsylvania district spanning Adams, Bedford, and Franklin counties. With no serious primary challengers expected ahead of the May 19 primaries and candidate filing deadlines passing uneventfully on March 11, the race lacks competitive dynamics. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal involving Joyce, an unexpected Democratic recruit supplanting Farnham, or broader national midterm momentum favoring Democrats.

Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% to retain Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by Cook Political Report. Joyce, first elected in 2018 and reelected decisively over the same Democratic challenger Beth Farnham in 2024, announced his reelection bid in late January with a high-profile endorsement from President Trump, reinforcing his appeal among core GOP voters in this rural central Pennsylvania district spanning Adams, Bedford, and Franklin counties. With no serious primary challengers expected ahead of the May 19 primaries and candidate filing deadlines passing uneventfully on March 11, the race lacks competitive dynamics. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal involving Joyce, an unexpected Democratic recruit supplanting Farnham, or broader national midterm momentum favoring Democrats.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« PA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Parti républicain » à 93%, suivi de « Parti démocrate » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 93¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« PA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jan 29, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « PA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « PA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est « Parti républicain » à 93%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Parti démocrate » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « PA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.