Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% to retain Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by Cook Political Report. Joyce, first elected in 2018 and reelected decisively over the same Democratic challenger Beth Farnham in 2024, announced his reelection bid in late January with a high-profile endorsement from President Trump, reinforcing his appeal among core GOP voters in this rural central Pennsylvania district spanning Adams, Bedford, and Franklin counties. With no serious primary challengers expected ahead of the May 19 primaries and candidate filing deadlines passing uneventfully on March 11, the race lacks competitive dynamics. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal involving Joyce, an unexpected Democratic recruit supplanting Farnham, or broader national midterm momentum favoring Democrats.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
PA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% to retain Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by Cook Political Report. Joyce, first elected in 2018 and reelected decisively over the same Democratic challenger Beth Farnham in 2024, announced his reelection bid in late January with a high-profile endorsement from President Trump, reinforcing his appeal among core GOP voters in this rural central Pennsylvania district spanning Adams, Bedford, and Franklin counties. With no serious primary challengers expected ahead of the May 19 primaries and candidate filing deadlines passing uneventfully on March 11, the race lacks competitive dynamics. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal involving Joyce, an unexpected Democratic recruit supplanting Farnham, or broader national midterm momentum favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% to retain Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by Cook Political Report. Joyce, first elected in 2018 and reelected decisively over the same Democratic challenger Beth Farnham in 2024, announced his reelection bid in late January with a high-profile endorsement from President Trump, reinforcing his appeal among core GOP voters in this rural central Pennsylvania district spanning Adams, Bedford, and Franklin counties. With no serious primary challengers expected ahead of the May 19 primaries and candidate filing deadlines passing uneventfully on March 11, the race lacks competitive dynamics. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal involving Joyce, an unexpected Democratic recruit supplanting Farnham, or broader national midterm momentum favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% to retain Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, driven by incumbent Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in a solidly Republican seat rated as such by Cook Political Report. Joyce, first elected in 2018 and reelected decisively over the same Democratic challenger Beth Farnham in 2024, announced his reelection bid in late January with a high-profile endorsement from President Trump, reinforcing his appeal among core GOP voters in this rural central Pennsylvania district spanning Adams, Bedford, and Franklin counties. With no serious primary challengers expected ahead of the May 19 primaries and candidate filing deadlines passing uneventfully on March 11, the race lacks competitive dynamics. Scenarios that could shift odds include a major scandal involving Joyce, an unexpected Democratic recruit supplanting Farnham, or broader national midterm momentum favoring Democrats.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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