Election results from November 5 in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, show incumbent Dan Meuser securing a decisive victory over Democrat Derk Matthews, with Meuser capturing around 65% of the vote amid high turnout in battleground Pennsylvania. This outcome aligns with pre-election polling averages favoring Meuser by double digits, bolstered by incumbency advantage, strong GOP base in districts spanning Dauphin, Lebanon, and surrounding counties, and national Republican momentum. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party reflects virtual certainty of certification by state officials, though improbable scenarios like a legal challenge, widespread ballot irregularities, or delayed absentee counts could theoretically shift odds before final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
PA-13 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Election results from November 5 in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, show incumbent Dan Meuser securing a decisive victory over Democrat Derk Matthews, with Meuser capturing around 65% of the vote amid high turnout in battleground Pennsylvania. This outcome aligns with pre-election polling averages favoring Meuser by double digits, bolstered by incumbency advantage, strong GOP base in districts spanning Dauphin, Lebanon, and surrounding counties, and national Republican momentum. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party reflects virtual certainty of certification by state officials, though improbable scenarios like a legal challenge, widespread ballot irregularities, or delayed absentee counts could theoretically shift odds before final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Election results from November 5 in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, show incumbent Dan Meuser securing a decisive victory over Democrat Derk Matthews, with Meuser capturing around 65% of the vote amid high turnout in battleground Pennsylvania. This outcome aligns with pre-election polling averages favoring Meuser by double digits, bolstered by incumbency advantage, strong GOP base in districts spanning Dauphin, Lebanon, and surrounding counties, and national Republican momentum. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party reflects virtual certainty of certification by state officials, though improbable scenarios like a legal challenge, widespread ballot irregularities, or delayed absentee counts could theoretically shift odds before final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Election results from November 5 in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District, a reliably Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, show incumbent Dan Meuser securing a decisive victory over Democrat Derk Matthews, with Meuser capturing around 65% of the vote amid high turnout in battleground Pennsylvania. This outcome aligns with pre-election polling averages favoring Meuser by double digits, bolstered by incumbency advantage, strong GOP base in districts spanning Dauphin, Lebanon, and surrounding counties, and national Republican momentum. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican Party reflects virtual certainty of certification by state officials, though improbable scenarios like a legal challenge, widespread ballot irregularities, or delayed absentee counts could theoretically shift odds before final resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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