Texas’s 21st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat, with the open race created by Chip Roy’s decision to run for state attorney general producing a decisive March primary victory for Republican nominee Mark Teixeira over a crowded field. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook also advanced from her primary, yet the district’s exurban and Hill Country voter base, combined with consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and House contests, has anchored trader assessments of the November general election outcome. National political dynamics or turnout shifts could still alter the trajectory before Election Day, though current consensus pricing reflects the structural advantages favoring the Republican candidate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-21
$34,493 Vol.
$34,493 Vol.
Parti républicain
81%
Parti démocrate
19%
$34,493 Vol.
$34,493 Vol.
Parti républicain
81%
Parti démocrate
19%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 21st congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat, with the open race created by Chip Roy’s decision to run for state attorney general producing a decisive March primary victory for Republican nominee Mark Teixeira over a crowded field. Democratic nominee Kristin Hook also advanced from her primary, yet the district’s exurban and Hill Country voter base, combined with consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential and House contests, has anchored trader assessments of the November general election outcome. National political dynamics or turnout shifts could still alter the trajectory before Election Day, though current consensus pricing reflects the structural advantages favoring the Republican candidate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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