Texas's 21st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its exurban and rural voter base, where Donald Trump carried the area by roughly 20 points in the prior cycle. With incumbent Chip Roy departing for a statewide bid, the March primaries produced Republican nominee Mark Teixeira, who secured over 60 percent against a crowded field, and Democratic nominee Kristin Hook. Traders price the Republican outcome at 80.5 percent because the district's partisan voting index, fundraising edge for the GOP nominee, and absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure continue to favor the party that has held the seat since 1978. No major developments since the primaries have altered this positioning ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-21
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-21
$31,265 Vol.
$31,265 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
81%
Parti démocrate
15%
$31,265 Vol.
$31,265 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$17,797 Vol.
81%
Parti démocrate
$13,468 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 21st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its exurban and rural voter base, where Donald Trump carried the area by roughly 20 points in the prior cycle. With incumbent Chip Roy departing for a statewide bid, the March primaries produced Republican nominee Mark Teixeira, who secured over 60 percent against a crowded field, and Democratic nominee Kristin Hook. Traders price the Republican outcome at 80.5 percent because the district's partisan voting index, fundraising edge for the GOP nominee, and absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure continue to favor the party that has held the seat since 1978. No major developments since the primaries have altered this positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$31,265Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 21st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its exurban and rural voter base, where Donald Trump carried the area by roughly 20 points in the prior cycle. With incumbent Chip Roy departing for a statewide bid, the March primaries produced Republican nominee Mark Teixeira, who secured over 60 percent against a crowded field, and Democratic nominee Kristin Hook. Traders price the Republican outcome at 80.5 percent because the district's partisan voting index, fundraising edge for the GOP nominee, and absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure continue to favor the party that has held the seat since 1978. No major developments since the primaries have altered this positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,265Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 21st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its exurban and rural voter base, where Donald Trump carried the area by roughly 20 points in the prior cycle. With incumbent Chip Roy departing for a statewide bid, the March primaries produced Republican nominee Mark Teixeira, who secured over 60 percent against a crowded field, and Democratic nominee Kristin Hook. Traders price the Republican outcome at 80.5 percent because the district's partisan voting index, fundraising edge for the GOP nominee, and absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure continue to favor the party that has held the seat since 1978. No major developments since the primaries have altered this positioning ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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