Morena maintains a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market due to its structural advantages following the 2024 coalition's supermajority in the Chamber of Deputies and subsequent consolidation of power across branches of government. The ruling party's coalition with PVEM and PT continues to hold majorities in Congress, while its candidates dominated the 2025 judicial elections, extending influence over the courts. President Claudia Sheinbaum's sustained popularity and the party's organizational focus ahead of the June 6, 2027, vote for all 500 lower-house seats reinforce trader expectations. Opposition parties such as PRI and PAN remain fragmented with limited recent gains. Shifts could arise from significant approval declines, coalition defections, or unified opposition mobilization in the year ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMorena 97.6%
PRI 1.3%
PAN <1%
MC <1%
$39,967 Vol.
$39,967 Vol.

Morena
98%

PRI
1%

PAN
1%

MC
1%

PVEM
<1%

PT
<1%
Morena 97.6%
PRI 1.3%
PAN <1%
MC <1%
$39,967 Vol.
$39,967 Vol.

Morena
98%

PRI
1%

PAN
1%

MC
1%

PVEM
<1%

PT
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding lead in the 2027 Mexican legislative election market due to its structural advantages following the 2024 coalition's supermajority in the Chamber of Deputies and subsequent consolidation of power across branches of government. The ruling party's coalition with PVEM and PT continues to hold majorities in Congress, while its candidates dominated the 2025 judicial elections, extending influence over the courts. President Claudia Sheinbaum's sustained popularity and the party's organizational focus ahead of the June 6, 2027, vote for all 500 lower-house seats reinforce trader expectations. Opposition parties such as PRI and PAN remain fragmented with limited recent gains. Shifts could arise from significant approval declines, coalition defections, or unified opposition mobilization in the year ahead.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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