The competitive Fujimori-Sánchez runoff on June 7, with recent polls showing a narrow 39-35 or 38-38 split and substantial undecided voters, anchors trader expectations for turnout in the 70-80 percent range. First-round participation reached 73.81 percent amid polling-station delays in Lima that cut local turnout by an estimated 2.5-5 points, setting a baseline while highlighting institutional friction that could recur or be mitigated. The polarized right-left contest and mutual mobilization efforts typically lift runoff engagement above fragmented first-round levels, though lingering distrust from administrative shortfalls and Peru’s recent pattern of variable participation limit upside. Scheduled fixes ahead of June 7 and last-minute campaign intensity remain the main variables that could push outcomes toward the upper or lower brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPeru Election 2nd Round: Turnout?
70–75% 39%
75–80% 38%
80–85% 7%
<70% 2.8%
$11,366 Vol.
$11,366 Vol.
<70%
3%
70–75%
39%
75–80%
38%
80–85%
7%
>85%
1%
70–75% 39%
75–80% 38%
80–85% 7%
<70% 2.8%
$11,366 Vol.
$11,366 Vol.
<70%
3%
70–75%
39%
75–80%
38%
80–85%
7%
>85%
1%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Marché ouvert : May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the second round Peru presidential election, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles).
This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the second-round Presidential (Presidencial) election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive Fujimori-Sánchez runoff on June 7, with recent polls showing a narrow 39-35 or 38-38 split and substantial undecided voters, anchors trader expectations for turnout in the 70-80 percent range. First-round participation reached 73.81 percent amid polling-station delays in Lima that cut local turnout by an estimated 2.5-5 points, setting a baseline while highlighting institutional friction that could recur or be mitigated. The polarized right-left contest and mutual mobilization efforts typically lift runoff engagement above fragmented first-round levels, though lingering distrust from administrative shortfalls and Peru’s recent pattern of variable participation limit upside. Scheduled fixes ahead of June 7 and last-minute campaign intensity remain the main variables that could push outcomes toward the upper or lower brackets.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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