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Politique·June 2 Primaries

CA-16 Primary Winners

icon for CA-16 Primary Winners
Politique·June 2 Primaries

CA-16 Primary Winners

$1,431 Vol.

2 juin 2026
Polymarket

$1,431 Vol.

Polymarket

Sam Liccardo

$225 Vol.

99%

Jotham Stein

$270 Vol.

2%

Kevin Johnson

$836 Vol.

35%

Peter Sundin Soulé

$100 Vol.

52%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo secured a commanding victory in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 16th Congressional District, receiving roughly 73-75% of the vote across reporting precincts. This outcome in the solidly Democratic Silicon Valley-based seat advanced Liccardo alongside one Republican—either Peter Soule or Kevin Johnson, who split the remaining GOP support at about 11% and 10% respectively—while independent Jotham Stein trailed further behind. The lopsided result followed a filing deadline in March with limited opposition, consistent with the district's partisan lean and historical incumbent performance in low-turnout primaries. With vote counting nearly complete, traders are assessing any final certification impacts on market resolution ahead of the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,431
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo secured a commanding victory in California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 16th Congressional District, receiving roughly 73-75% of the vote across reporting precincts. This outcome in the solidly Democratic Silicon Valley-based seat advanced Liccardo alongside one Republican—either Peter Soule or Kevin Johnson, who split the remaining GOP support at about 11% and 10% respectively—while independent Jotham Stein trailed further behind. The lopsided result followed a filing deadline in March with limited opposition, consistent with the district's partisan lean and historical incumbent performance in low-turnout primaries. With vote counting nearly complete, traders are assessing any final certification impacts on market resolution ahead of the November general election.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,431
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 16th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« CA-16 Primary Winners » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Sam Liccardo » à 99%, suivi de « Peter Sundin Soulé » à 52%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 99¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« CA-16 Primary Winners » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 21, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « CA-16 Primary Winners », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « CA-16 Primary Winners » est « Sam Liccardo » à 99%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 99% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Peter Sundin Soulé » à 52%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « CA-16 Primary Winners » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.