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icon for LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

icon for LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place?

Nithya Raman 100.0%

Spencer Pratt <1%

Karen Bass <1%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$860,570 Vol.

Nithya Raman 100.0%

Spencer Pratt <1%

Karen Bass <1%

Rick Caruso <1%

Polymarket

$860,570 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$109,299 Vol.

No

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$2,962 Vol.

No

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$3,125 Vol.

No

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$5,167 Vol.

No

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$305,375 Vol.

No

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$4,227 Vol.

No

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$3,287 Vol.

No

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$2,338 Vol.

No

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$2,823 Vol.

No

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$419,435 Vol.

Yes

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$2,533 Vol.

No

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor while City Councilmember Nithya Raman has secured second place after overtaking Spencer Pratt in ongoing mail-ballot counts. With over 90 percent of votes tabulated, official projections from multiple outlets confirm Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Raman's late surge in remaining ballots, driven by stronger performance among progressive and Democratic-leaning voters, established the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Late-arriving ballots or an unforeseen recount could theoretically alter the exact ordering, though historical patterns in California municipal elections make such reversals improbable at this stage of tabulation.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volume
$860,570
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 nonpartisan primary for Los Angeles mayor while City Councilmember Nithya Raman has secured second place after overtaking Spencer Pratt in ongoing mail-ballot counts. With over 90 percent of votes tabulated, official projections from multiple outlets confirm Bass and Raman will advance to the November runoff. Raman's late surge in remaining ballots, driven by stronger performance among progressive and Democratic-leaning voters, established the current trader consensus reflected in the market pricing. Late-arriving ballots or an unforeseen recount could theoretically alter the exact ordering, though historical patterns in California municipal elections make such reversals improbable at this stage of tabulation.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Volume
$860,570
Date de fin
2 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Nithya Raman » à 100%, suivi de « Karen Bass » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place? » a généré $860.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 14, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place? » est « Nithya Raman » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Karen Bass » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « LA Mayoral Election: First Round Second Place? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.