Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 primary vote count at approximately 35 percent and has secured advancement to the November runoff, while Councilmember Nithya Raman trails Spencer Pratt by a narrowing margin amid ongoing ballot tabulation. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Bass-Raman pairing due to Raman’s recent gains in counted votes and historical patterns of late mail-ballot shifts favoring her in Los Angeles contests. Bass’s incumbency advantages in name recognition and fundraising further anchor her position. A sustained Pratt lead in remaining ballots or unexpected turnout patterns among specific voting blocs could still alter the second-place result before final certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?
Bass & Raman 94.6%
Bass & Pratt 5.1%
Raman & Pratt <1%
Other <1%
$972,472 Vol.
$972,472 Vol.
Bass & Raman
95%
Bass & Pratt
5%
Raman & Pratt
<1%
Other
<1%
1st Round Outright Winner
<1%
Bass & Raman 94.6%
Bass & Pratt 5.1%
Raman & Pratt <1%
Other <1%
$972,472 Vol.
$972,472 Vol.
Bass & Raman
95%
Bass & Pratt
5%
Raman & Pratt
<1%
Other
<1%
1st Round Outright Winner
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Karen Bass leads the June 2 primary vote count at approximately 35 percent and has secured advancement to the November runoff, while Councilmember Nithya Raman trails Spencer Pratt by a narrowing margin amid ongoing ballot tabulation. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Bass-Raman pairing due to Raman’s recent gains in counted votes and historical patterns of late mail-ballot shifts favoring her in Los Angeles contests. Bass’s incumbency advantages in name recognition and fundraising further anchor her position. A sustained Pratt lead in remaining ballots or unexpected turnout patterns among specific voting blocs could still alter the second-place result before final certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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