Trever Nehls holds a commanding lead in the Texas 22nd congressional district race because the open seat sits in a solidly Republican area with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, where Donald Trump carried 59.9 percent in 2024. Nehls won the March Republican primary by a wide margin after securing endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, and his retiring twin brother, former Representative Troy Nehls. As a retired Army colonel and former Fort Bend County constable, he emphasizes border security, energy production, and infrastructure priorities that align with the district’s suburban Houston electorate across Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott, a local city council member who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though none have emerged near the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-22
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-22
$26,537 Vol.
$26,537 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
8%
$26,537 Vol.
$26,537 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Trever Nehls (R)
$16,948 Vol.
93%
Marquette Greene-Scott (D)
$9,589 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls holds a commanding lead in the Texas 22nd congressional district race because the open seat sits in a solidly Republican area with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, where Donald Trump carried 59.9 percent in 2024. Nehls won the March Republican primary by a wide margin after securing endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, and his retiring twin brother, former Representative Troy Nehls. As a retired Army colonel and former Fort Bend County constable, he emphasizes border security, energy production, and infrastructure priorities that align with the district’s suburban Houston electorate across Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott, a local city council member who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though none have emerged near the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$26,537Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trever Nehls holds a commanding lead in the Texas 22nd congressional district race because the open seat sits in a solidly Republican area with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, where Donald Trump carried 59.9 percent in 2024. Nehls won the March Republican primary by a wide margin after securing endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, and his retiring twin brother, former Representative Troy Nehls. As a retired Army colonel and former Fort Bend County constable, he emphasizes border security, energy production, and infrastructure priorities that align with the district’s suburban Houston electorate across Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott, a local city council member who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though none have emerged near the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,537Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Trever Nehls holds a commanding lead in the Texas 22nd congressional district race because the open seat sits in a solidly Republican area with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, where Donald Trump carried 59.9 percent in 2024. Nehls won the March Republican primary by a wide margin after securing endorsements from President Trump, Senator Ted Cruz, and his retiring twin brother, former Representative Troy Nehls. As a retired Army colonel and former Fort Bend County constable, he emphasizes border security, energy production, and infrastructure priorities that align with the district’s suburban Houston electorate across Fort Bend, Harris, and Brazoria counties. Democratic nominee Marquette Greene-Scott, a local city council member who won her primary, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift could narrow the gap, though none have emerged near the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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