Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability to win West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Riley Moore's unchallenged reelection bid in a solidly Republican district rated "Solid R" by Cook Political Report. Moore, who secured easy victory in 2024 after replacing Alex Mooney, filed for reelection in January 2026 with no notable primary challengers ahead of the May 12 primaries. The Democratic field remains weak, featuring low-profile candidates like Ahsan Parsi amid statewide Democratic filing surges that have yet to yield competitive challengers here. While WV-02's strong GOP lean and incumbency advantage underpin the odds, shifts could arise from a heated Republican primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or national midterm wave altering turnout in this battleground state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourWV-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WV-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$20,124 Vol.
$20,124 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
6%
$20,124 Vol.
$20,124 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$20,124 Vol.
92%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability to win West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Riley Moore's unchallenged reelection bid in a solidly Republican district rated "Solid R" by Cook Political Report. Moore, who secured easy victory in 2024 after replacing Alex Mooney, filed for reelection in January 2026 with no notable primary challengers ahead of the May 12 primaries. The Democratic field remains weak, featuring low-profile candidates like Ahsan Parsi amid statewide Democratic filing surges that have yet to yield competitive challengers here. While WV-02's strong GOP lean and incumbency advantage underpin the odds, shifts could arise from a heated Republican primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or national midterm wave altering turnout in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$20,124Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability to win West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Riley Moore's unchallenged reelection bid in a solidly Republican district rated "Solid R" by Cook Political Report. Moore, who secured easy victory in 2024 after replacing Alex Mooney, filed for reelection in January 2026 with no notable primary challengers ahead of the May 12 primaries. The Democratic field remains weak, featuring low-profile candidates like Ahsan Parsi amid statewide Democratic filing surges that have yet to yield competitive challengers here. While WV-02's strong GOP lean and incumbency advantage underpin the odds, shifts could arise from a heated Republican primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or national midterm wave altering turnout in this battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,124Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 91.5% implied probability to win West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Riley Moore's unchallenged reelection bid in a solidly Republican district rated "Solid R" by Cook Political Report. Moore, who secured easy victory in 2024 after replacing Alex Mooney, filed for reelection in January 2026 with no notable primary challengers ahead of the May 12 primaries. The Democratic field remains weak, featuring low-profile candidates like Ahsan Parsi amid statewide Democratic filing surges that have yet to yield competitive challengers here. While WV-02's strong GOP lean and incumbency advantage underpin the odds, shifts could arise from a heated Republican primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or national midterm wave altering turnout in this battleground state.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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