Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas holds a commanding lead in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, driving trader consensus to 92% for the Republican Party. Lucas, seeking his 13th term as chair of the House Agriculture Committee, cruised through the June primary unopposed and has consistently won general elections with 70-80% of the vote, including 73% in 2022 against minimal Democratic opposition. Democrat nominee Angie Crowell trails significantly in fundraising and visibility, with no recent polling indicating competitiveness. Absent a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the low 6% odds for Democrats reflect structural barriers in this safe seat ahead of the November 5 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOK-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
OK-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$16,845 Vol.
$16,845 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
6%
$16,845 Vol.
$16,845 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$16,845 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas holds a commanding lead in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, driving trader consensus to 92% for the Republican Party. Lucas, seeking his 13th term as chair of the House Agriculture Committee, cruised through the June primary unopposed and has consistently won general elections with 70-80% of the vote, including 73% in 2022 against minimal Democratic opposition. Democrat nominee Angie Crowell trails significantly in fundraising and visibility, with no recent polling indicating competitiveness. Absent a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the low 6% odds for Democrats reflect structural barriers in this safe seat ahead of the November 5 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$16,845Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas holds a commanding lead in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, driving trader consensus to 92% for the Republican Party. Lucas, seeking his 13th term as chair of the House Agriculture Committee, cruised through the June primary unopposed and has consistently won general elections with 70-80% of the vote, including 73% in 2022 against minimal Democratic opposition. Democrat nominee Angie Crowell trails significantly in fundraising and visibility, with no recent polling indicating competitiveness. Absent a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the low 6% odds for Democrats reflect structural barriers in this safe seat ahead of the November 5 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,845Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas holds a commanding lead in Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+24, driving trader consensus to 92% for the Republican Party. Lucas, seeking his 13th term as chair of the House Agriculture Committee, cruised through the June primary unopposed and has consistently won general elections with 70-80% of the vote, including 73% in 2022 against minimal Democratic opposition. Democrat nominee Angie Crowell trails significantly in fundraising and visibility, with no recent polling indicating competitiveness. Absent a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national Democratic wave, the low 6% odds for Democrats reflect structural barriers in this safe seat ahead of the November 5 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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