Incumbent Republican Ben Cline holds a strong position in Virginia's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflected in the market's 81% Republican consensus. The district carries an R+12 partisan voter index under the 2021 map that remains in effect. A key recent catalyst was the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down a voter-approved redistricting referendum that would have shifted the lines toward Democrats, followed by the U.S. Supreme Court's May 15 denial of appeal. This preserved the district's structural Republican advantage. Democrats face an August 4 primary featuring multiple candidates, but face the same historical headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican nominees in recent cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
VA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$81,596 Vol.
$81,596 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
81%
Parti démocrate
15%
$81,596 Vol.
$81,596 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$28,144 Vol.
81%
Parti démocrate
$53,452 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline holds a strong position in Virginia's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflected in the market's 81% Republican consensus. The district carries an R+12 partisan voter index under the 2021 map that remains in effect. A key recent catalyst was the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down a voter-approved redistricting referendum that would have shifted the lines toward Democrats, followed by the U.S. Supreme Court's May 15 denial of appeal. This preserved the district's structural Republican advantage. Democrats face an August 4 primary featuring multiple candidates, but face the same historical headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican nominees in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$81,596Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ben Cline holds a strong position in Virginia's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflected in the market's 81% Republican consensus. The district carries an R+12 partisan voter index under the 2021 map that remains in effect. A key recent catalyst was the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down a voter-approved redistricting referendum that would have shifted the lines toward Democrats, followed by the U.S. Supreme Court's May 15 denial of appeal. This preserved the district's structural Republican advantage. Democrats face an August 4 primary featuring multiple candidates, but face the same historical headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican nominees in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$81,596Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ben Cline holds a strong position in Virginia's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflected in the market's 81% Republican consensus. The district carries an R+12 partisan voter index under the 2021 map that remains in effect. A key recent catalyst was the Virginia Supreme Court's May 8 ruling striking down a voter-approved redistricting referendum that would have shifted the lines toward Democrats, followed by the U.S. Supreme Court's May 15 denial of appeal. This preserved the district's structural Republican advantage. Democrats face an August 4 primary featuring multiple candidates, but face the same historical headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republican nominees in recent cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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