Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for TN-08's House winner, driven by incumbent Rep. David Kustoff's unopposed August 6 Republican primary and dominant history in the R+21 district, where he won 72% in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, citing Kustoff's locked-down status post-March 10 filing deadline, which revealed weak Democratic primary challengers Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins—both with zero fundraising—and low-profile independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor. No recent polling shifts sentiment, but the general election November 3 could see minor movement from turnout dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include a Kustoff scandal, health issue, or unexpected Democratic midterm wave boosting swing state margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTN-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-08 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$827 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for TN-08's House winner, driven by incumbent Rep. David Kustoff's unopposed August 6 Republican primary and dominant history in the R+21 district, where he won 72% in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, citing Kustoff's locked-down status post-March 10 filing deadline, which revealed weak Democratic primary challengers Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins—both with zero fundraising—and low-profile independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor. No recent polling shifts sentiment, but the general election November 3 could see minor movement from turnout dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include a Kustoff scandal, health issue, or unexpected Democratic midterm wave boosting swing state margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$827Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for TN-08's House winner, driven by incumbent Rep. David Kustoff's unopposed August 6 Republican primary and dominant history in the R+21 district, where he won 72% in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, citing Kustoff's locked-down status post-March 10 filing deadline, which revealed weak Democratic primary challengers Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins—both with zero fundraising—and low-profile independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor. No recent polling shifts sentiment, but the general election November 3 could see minor movement from turnout dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include a Kustoff scandal, health issue, or unexpected Democratic midterm wave boosting swing state margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$827Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for TN-08's House winner, driven by incumbent Rep. David Kustoff's unopposed August 6 Republican primary and dominant history in the R+21 district, where he won 72% in 2024. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, citing Kustoff's locked-down status post-March 10 filing deadline, which revealed weak Democratic primary challengers Dewey Bryan and Leonard Perkins—both with zero fundraising—and low-profile independents Pamela Moses and Horace Taylor. No recent polling shifts sentiment, but the general election November 3 could see minor movement from turnout dynamics. Scenarios challenging this include a Kustoff scandal, health issue, or unexpected Democratic midterm wave boosting swing state margins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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