The Houston-area TX-07 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democrats in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the party's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election. Incumbent Lizzie Fletcher secured her party's nomination without opposition, while Republicans completed their May 26 runoff to select Alexander Hale as nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on structural factors including voter composition and historical results. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability catalysts at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$11,635 Vol.
$11,635 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
6%
$11,635 Vol.
$11,635 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$9,476 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$2,159 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Houston-area TX-07 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democrats in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the party's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election. Incumbent Lizzie Fletcher secured her party's nomination without opposition, while Republicans completed their May 26 runoff to select Alexander Hale as nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on structural factors including voter composition and historical results. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability catalysts at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$11,635Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Houston-area TX-07 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democrats in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the party's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election. Incumbent Lizzie Fletcher secured her party's nomination without opposition, while Republicans completed their May 26 runoff to select Alexander Hale as nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on structural factors including voter composition and historical results. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability catalysts at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,635Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Houston-area TX-07 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+13 and consistent double-digit margins for Democrats in recent cycles, anchors trader consensus on the party's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election. Incumbent Lizzie Fletcher secured her party's nomination without opposition, while Republicans completed their May 26 runoff to select Alexander Hale as nominee. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on structural factors including voter composition and historical results. A major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability catalysts at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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