Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won reelection with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican challengers have yet to emerge as credible threats in this urban Hampton Roads seat. Trader consensus around a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors, including long-standing voter registration advantages and limited recent polling shifts. A late scandal, unexpected redistricting change before November, or national political wave could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
VA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$20,076 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$15,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won reelection with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican challengers have yet to emerge as credible threats in this urban Hampton Roads seat. Trader consensus around a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors, including long-standing voter registration advantages and limited recent polling shifts. A late scandal, unexpected redistricting change before November, or national political wave could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,433Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won reelection with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican challengers have yet to emerge as credible threats in this urban Hampton Roads seat. Trader consensus around a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors, including long-standing voter registration advantages and limited recent polling shifts. A late scandal, unexpected redistricting change before November, or national political wave could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,433Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who won reelection with roughly 70 percent in 2024, faces only limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican challengers have yet to emerge as credible threats in this urban Hampton Roads seat. Trader consensus around a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors, including long-standing voter registration advantages and limited recent polling shifts. A late scandal, unexpected redistricting change before November, or national political wave could still narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability given the district's baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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