Bobby Scott's commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential candidates. As the long-serving incumbent since 1993, Scott benefits from name recognition, substantial campaign resources exceeding $600,000 raised, and prior general election victories near or above 70 percent. Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer, advanced unopposed in a canceled primary but has raised under $7,000, limiting visibility against Scott's established infrastructure. Multiple independents on the November 3, 2026 ballot further fragment any potential opposition. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Shifts remain possible only through unforeseen late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or turnout surprises in the Hampton Roads area.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
VA-03 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$63,428 Vol.
$63,428 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
96%
Edwin Rivera (R)
5%
$63,428 Vol.
$63,428 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
$21,583 Vol.
96%
Edwin Rivera (R)
$41,845 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott's commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential candidates. As the long-serving incumbent since 1993, Scott benefits from name recognition, substantial campaign resources exceeding $600,000 raised, and prior general election victories near or above 70 percent. Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer, advanced unopposed in a canceled primary but has raised under $7,000, limiting visibility against Scott's established infrastructure. Multiple independents on the November 3, 2026 ballot further fragment any potential opposition. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Shifts remain possible only through unforeseen late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or turnout surprises in the Hampton Roads area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$63,428Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Scott's commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential candidates. As the long-serving incumbent since 1993, Scott benefits from name recognition, substantial campaign resources exceeding $600,000 raised, and prior general election victories near or above 70 percent. Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer, advanced unopposed in a canceled primary but has raised under $7,000, limiting visibility against Scott's established infrastructure. Multiple independents on the November 3, 2026 ballot further fragment any potential opposition. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Shifts remain possible only through unforeseen late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or turnout surprises in the Hampton Roads area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,428Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Bobby Scott's commanding position in the VA-03 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic presidential candidates. As the long-serving incumbent since 1993, Scott benefits from name recognition, substantial campaign resources exceeding $600,000 raised, and prior general election victories near or above 70 percent. Republican nominee Edwin Rivera, an Army veteran and former police officer, advanced unopposed in a canceled primary but has raised under $7,000, limiting visibility against Scott's established infrastructure. Multiple independents on the November 3, 2026 ballot further fragment any potential opposition. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Shifts remain possible only through unforeseen late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or turnout surprises in the Hampton Roads area.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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