Incumbent Republican Joe Wilson holds an 86.5% implied probability in the SC-02 House race due to his long tenure since 2001, strong performance in the June 2026 Republican primary, and the district's consistent Republican lean reflected in recent presidential voting margins. Democratic nominee Zyon Khalifa, who secured his party's nomination in a June runoff, trails at 11.3% amid limited fundraising and the district's partisan baseline. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with trader consensus on Wilson's advantages in name recognition and resources ahead of the November 3 general election. Minor candidates including Dayna Alane Smith account for the remaining market options near 50%. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the established positioning.