Trader consensus on White House X posts for March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 160-199, reflecting uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome, which will shape the administration's communication cadence. Historical data shows Biden-era weeks averaging 140-160 posts, driven by routine briefings and statements, while Trump presidencies featured higher volumes exceeding 180 amid frequent announcements and rapid-response messaging. Recent national polls remain neck-and-neck between leading candidates, sustaining balanced odds across high-volume bins and limiting separation. A decisive debate performance, endorsement surge, or legal ruling could shift election implied probabilities, widening the spread toward either restrained or amplified posting expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMaison-Blanche # posts 20 mars - 27 mars 2026 ?
Maison-Blanche # posts 20 mars - 27 mars 2026 ?
180-199 25%
160-179 23%
200+ 22%
140-159 16%
$11,194 Vol.
$11,194 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
3%
100-119
5%
120-139
7%
140-159
16%
160-179
23%
180-199
25%
200+
22%
180-199 25%
160-179 23%
200+ 22%
140-159 16%
$11,194 Vol.
$11,194 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
2%
80-99
3%
100-119
5%
120-139
7%
140-159
16%
160-179
23%
180-199
25%
200+
22%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on White House X posts for March 20-27, 2026, clusters tightly around 160-199, reflecting uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome, which will shape the administration's communication cadence. Historical data shows Biden-era weeks averaging 140-160 posts, driven by routine briefings and statements, while Trump presidencies featured higher volumes exceeding 180 amid frequent announcements and rapid-response messaging. Recent national polls remain neck-and-neck between leading candidates, sustaining balanced odds across high-volume bins and limiting separation. A decisive debate performance, endorsement surge, or legal ruling could shift election implied probabilities, widening the spread toward either restrained or amplified posting expectations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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