Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's X posts from March 24-31, 2026, clusters tightly around low ranges, with 20-39 posts (44%) edging <20 (40%), reflecting uncertainty over the 86-year-old Supreme Leader's health and posting cadence amid his advanced age. Historical data from @khamenei_ir shows weekly averages of 20-40 messages, often spiking for policy statements or Nowruz-related addresses near that late-March period, but recent months exhibit dips during reported illnesses and regional tensions like Israel-Iran exchanges. This balance persists due to no confirmed health decline and steady official activity, keeping higher brackets viable; separation could arise from 2025 medical updates, succession signals, or escalatory events prompting more frequent Supreme Leader communications.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourKhamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
20-39 44%
60-79 37%
40-59 37%
80-99 35%
<20
39%
20-39
44%
40-59
37%
60-79
37%
80-99
35%
100 à 119
33%
120-139
32%
140-159
32%
160-179
32%
180-199
32%
200+
30%
20-39 44%
60-79 37%
40-59 37%
80-99 35%
<20
39%
20-39
44%
40-59
37%
60-79
37%
80-99
35%
100 à 119
33%
120-139
32%
140-159
32%
160-179
32%
180-199
32%
200+
30%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Khamenei's X posts from March 24-31, 2026, clusters tightly around low ranges, with 20-39 posts (44%) edging <20 (40%), reflecting uncertainty over the 86-year-old Supreme Leader's health and posting cadence amid his advanced age. Historical data from @khamenei_ir shows weekly averages of 20-40 messages, often spiking for policy statements or Nowruz-related addresses near that late-March period, but recent months exhibit dips during reported illnesses and regional tensions like Israel-Iran exchanges. This balance persists due to no confirmed health decline and steady official activity, keeping higher brackets viable; separation could arise from 2025 medical updates, succession signals, or escalatory events prompting more frequent Supreme Leader communications.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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