Market icon

Israël lancera-t-il une grande offensive terrestre au Liban d'ici le 31 mars ?

Oui

21% chance

$62,780 Vol.

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,780
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Créé le
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Market icon

Israël lancera-t-il une grande offensive terrestre au Liban d'ici le 31 mars ?

Oui

21% chance

$62,780 Vol.

À propos

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Lebanese territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$62,780
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Créé le
Nov 13, 2025, 5:50 PM ET

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.