Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, driven by the Trump administration's March 18 limited 60-day waiver—expiring May 17—for energy products and fertilizer transport amid oil market volatility from the Iran conflict, rather than any permanent repeal effort. This temporary measure highlights the Act's entrenched protectionist role safeguarding U.S. shipbuilding and maritime jobs against foreign competition, facing fierce pushback from unions and the American Maritime Partnership. No legislative proposals or White House signals indicate full elimination soon, reinforcing skepticism despite calls from free-market advocates for broader reform. Key watch: waiver extension decisions post-May and congressional maritime policy debates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$47,622 Vol.
$47,622 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$47,622 Vol.
$47,622 Vol.
30 juin 2026
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, driven by the Trump administration's March 18 limited 60-day waiver—expiring May 17—for energy products and fertilizer transport amid oil market volatility from the Iran conflict, rather than any permanent repeal effort. This temporary measure highlights the Act's entrenched protectionist role safeguarding U.S. shipbuilding and maritime jobs against foreign competition, facing fierce pushback from unions and the American Maritime Partnership. No legislative proposals or White House signals indicate full elimination soon, reinforcing skepticism despite calls from free-market advocates for broader reform. Key watch: waiver extension decisions post-May and congressional maritime policy debates.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
Volume
$47,622Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, driven by the Trump administration's March 18 limited 60-day waiver—expiring May 17—for energy products and fertilizer transport amid oil market volatility from the Iran conflict, rather than any permanent repeal effort. This temporary measure highlights the Act's entrenched protectionist role safeguarding U.S. shipbuilding and maritime jobs against foreign competition, facing fierce pushback from unions and the American Maritime Partnership. No legislative proposals or White House signals indicate full elimination soon, reinforcing skepticism despite calls from free-market advocates for broader reform. Key watch: waiver extension decisions post-May and congressional maritime policy debates.
The Jones Act of 1920 requires that all goods transported by water between U.S. ports be carried by vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Jones Act is repealed, altered, or invalidated, or new legislation becomes law, such that any of the Jones Act domestic shipping restrictions to vessels which are built in the U.S., owned by U.S. citizens, flagged to the U.S., and manned by U.S. crews are fully removed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A removal of any of the listed domestic shipping requirements will count. For example, the removal of the domestic shipping requirements for ships to be built in and flagged to the U.S., without the removal of the requirements for those ships to be owned by U.S. citizens to be manned by U.S. crews, would count.
New legislation includes any congressional legislation or any executive order, proclamation, memorandum, or other legally-binding executive action which effectively removes one of the listed Jones Act requirements.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government. If official information is unavailable or unclear, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$47,622Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 12:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86% implied probability against removal of Jones Act domestic shipping requirements by June 30, driven by the Trump administration's March 18 limited 60-day waiver—expiring May 17—for energy products and fertilizer transport amid oil market volatility from the Iran conflict, rather than any permanent repeal effort. This temporary measure highlights the Act's entrenched protectionist role safeguarding U.S. shipbuilding and maritime jobs against foreign competition, facing fierce pushback from unions and the American Maritime Partnership. No legislative proposals or White House signals indicate full elimination soon, reinforcing skepticism despite calls from free-market advocates for broader reform. Key watch: waiver extension decisions post-May and congressional maritime policy debates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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