Trader consensus heavily favors 2.4 million to 2.6 million TSA checkpoint screenings on March 21, reflecting steady spring break travel demand after recent daily volumes hovered in the 2.3M-2.5M range, including 2.45M on March 20 and 2.42M on March 19. This positioning stems from sustained post-winter recovery in air travel, with no major disruptions like weather events or airline issues reported, alongside economic indicators supporting leisure bookings. Lower probabilities for sub-2.4M arise from prior weekend dips rebounding midweek, while upside bins like 2.6M-2.8M account for potential peak surges seen earlier in the month, though upcoming Good Friday travel may concentrate later. Markets await official TSA release for confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour2.4M-2.6M 79%
2.6M-2.8M 15%
<2.4M 11%
2.8M-3.0M 1.7%
$3,017 Vol.
$3,017 Vol.
<2.4M
11%
2.4M-2.6M
73%
2.6M-2.8M
19%
2.8M-3.0M
2%
3.0M-3.2M
1%
>3.2M
<1%
2.4M-2.6M 79%
2.6M-2.8M 15%
<2.4M 11%
2.8M-3.0M 1.7%
$3,017 Vol.
$3,017 Vol.
<2.4M
11%
2.4M-2.6M
73%
2.6M-2.8M
19%
2.8M-3.0M
2%
3.0M-3.2M
1%
>3.2M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 2.4 million to 2.6 million TSA checkpoint screenings on March 21, reflecting steady spring break travel demand after recent daily volumes hovered in the 2.3M-2.5M range, including 2.45M on March 20 and 2.42M on March 19. This positioning stems from sustained post-winter recovery in air travel, with no major disruptions like weather events or airline issues reported, alongside economic indicators supporting leisure bookings. Lower probabilities for sub-2.4M arise from prior weekend dips rebounding midweek, while upside bins like 2.6M-2.8M account for potential peak surges seen earlier in the month, though upcoming Good Friday travel may concentrate later. Markets await official TSA release for confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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