Mississippi's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican stronghold, where incumbent Trent Kelly secured renomination without primary opposition on March 10, 2026, while Democrat Cliff Johnson emerged as the general-election nominee after defeating Kelvin Buck. This matchup underscores the district's long-standing voting patterns favoring Republican candidates in rural northern Mississippi counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November 3 general election. A Democratic upset could still occur if national political currents intensify, candidate-specific issues arise, or turnout patterns diverge sharply from historical norms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur du MS-01 House Election
Vainqueur du MS-01 House Election
$105,411 Vol.
$105,411 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
6%
$105,411 Vol.
$105,411 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$77,078 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$28,333 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican stronghold, where incumbent Trent Kelly secured renomination without primary opposition on March 10, 2026, while Democrat Cliff Johnson emerged as the general-election nominee after defeating Kelvin Buck. This matchup underscores the district's long-standing voting patterns favoring Republican candidates in rural northern Mississippi counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November 3 general election. A Democratic upset could still occur if national political currents intensify, candidate-specific issues arise, or turnout patterns diverge sharply from historical norms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$105,411Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican stronghold, where incumbent Trent Kelly secured renomination without primary opposition on March 10, 2026, while Democrat Cliff Johnson emerged as the general-election nominee after defeating Kelvin Buck. This matchup underscores the district's long-standing voting patterns favoring Republican candidates in rural northern Mississippi counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November 3 general election. A Democratic upset could still occur if national political currents intensify, candidate-specific issues arise, or turnout patterns diverge sharply from historical norms.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$105,411Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican stronghold, where incumbent Trent Kelly secured renomination without primary opposition on March 10, 2026, while Democrat Cliff Johnson emerged as the general-election nominee after defeating Kelvin Buck. This matchup underscores the district's long-standing voting patterns favoring Republican candidates in rural northern Mississippi counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November 3 general election. A Democratic upset could still occur if national political currents intensify, candidate-specific issues arise, or turnout patterns diverge sharply from historical norms.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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