Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. The seat's even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasters like the Cook Political Report reflect its swing character in a state that often decides national outcomes. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 80.5% implied probability, consistent with midterm patterns where the opposition party typically performs strongly against the president's party, alongside early polling showing Democratic primary leaders competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. The August 4 primary and subsequent general election timeline provide key upcoming catalysts that could further shape positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMI-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MI-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
81%
Parti républicain
13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$5,132 Vol.
81%
Parti républicain
$1,912 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. The seat's even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasters like the Cook Political Report reflect its swing character in a state that often decides national outcomes. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 80.5% implied probability, consistent with midterm patterns where the opposition party typically performs strongly against the president's party, alongside early polling showing Democratic primary leaders competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. The August 4 primary and subsequent general election timeline provide key upcoming catalysts that could further shape positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$7,044Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. The seat's even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasters like the Cook Political Report reflect its swing character in a state that often decides national outcomes. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 80.5% implied probability, consistent with midterm patterns where the opposition party typically performs strongly against the president's party, alongside early polling showing Democratic primary leaders competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. The August 4 primary and subsequent general election timeline provide key upcoming catalysts that could further shape positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,044Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district stands as one of the most competitive House races heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing a Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam. The seat's even partisan voter index and toss-up ratings from forecasters like the Cook Political Report reflect its swing character in a state that often decides national outcomes. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 80.5% implied probability, consistent with midterm patterns where the opposition party typically performs strongly against the president's party, alongside early polling showing Democratic primary leaders competitive or ahead in head-to-head matchups. The August 4 primary and subsequent general election timeline provide key upcoming catalysts that could further shape positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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