The open seat created by Republican Nancy Mace's gubernatorial campaign in South Carolina's 1st district, rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the Republican Party's 69.5% implied probability. Major forecasters classify the general election as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the area's voting patterns and the strength of likely GOP primary contenders such as Mark Smith ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democratic efforts, including DCCC targeting and head-to-head polling showing a narrow Republican edge over candidates like Mac Deford, support the Democratic Party's 31.5% share while highlighting the race's limited competitiveness relative to national benchmarks. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning could influence trader assessments before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourSC-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
SC-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$38,324 Vol.
$38,324 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
70%
Parti démocrate
32%
$38,324 Vol.
$38,324 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$6,658 Vol.
70%
Parti démocrate
$31,665 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican Nancy Mace's gubernatorial campaign in South Carolina's 1st district, rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the Republican Party's 69.5% implied probability. Major forecasters classify the general election as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the area's voting patterns and the strength of likely GOP primary contenders such as Mark Smith ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democratic efforts, including DCCC targeting and head-to-head polling showing a narrow Republican edge over candidates like Mac Deford, support the Democratic Party's 31.5% share while highlighting the race's limited competitiveness relative to national benchmarks. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning could influence trader assessments before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,324Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican Nancy Mace's gubernatorial campaign in South Carolina's 1st district, rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the Republican Party's 69.5% implied probability. Major forecasters classify the general election as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the area's voting patterns and the strength of likely GOP primary contenders such as Mark Smith ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democratic efforts, including DCCC targeting and head-to-head polling showing a narrow Republican edge over candidates like Mac Deford, support the Democratic Party's 31.5% share while highlighting the race's limited competitiveness relative to national benchmarks. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning could influence trader assessments before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,324Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican Nancy Mace's gubernatorial campaign in South Carolina's 1st district, rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, underpins the Republican Party's 69.5% implied probability. Major forecasters classify the general election as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the area's voting patterns and the strength of likely GOP primary contenders such as Mark Smith ahead of the June 9 primaries. Democratic efforts, including DCCC targeting and head-to-head polling showing a narrow Republican edge over candidates like Mac Deford, support the Democratic Party's 31.5% share while highlighting the race's limited competitiveness relative to national benchmarks. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in candidate positioning could influence trader assessments before the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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