Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69% to retain Alaska's at-large House seat, driven by incumbent Nick Begich's strong re-election positioning following his narrow 2024 ranked-choice victory over Mary Peltola. Begich boasts superior fundraising with over $2.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, alongside high-profile endorsements from President Trump, House leadership, and Alaska state legislators, bolstering his edge in the R+6 partisan district. Democrats' Matt Schultz, an Anchorage pastor, leads challengers but trails in early 2025 polls (e.g., 46-39%) and lacks comparable resources after Peltola shifted to a competitive Senate bid in January 2026. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 top-four primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre AK-AL
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre AK-AL
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
69%
Parti démocrate
31%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
69%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69% to retain Alaska's at-large House seat, driven by incumbent Nick Begich's strong re-election positioning following his narrow 2024 ranked-choice victory over Mary Peltola. Begich boasts superior fundraising with over $2.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, alongside high-profile endorsements from President Trump, House leadership, and Alaska state legislators, bolstering his edge in the R+6 partisan district. Democrats' Matt Schultz, an Anchorage pastor, leads challengers but trails in early 2025 polls (e.g., 46-39%) and lacks comparable resources after Peltola shifted to a competitive Senate bid in January 2026. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 top-four primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69% to retain Alaska's at-large House seat, driven by incumbent Nick Begich's strong re-election positioning following his narrow 2024 ranked-choice victory over Mary Peltola. Begich boasts superior fundraising with over $2.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, alongside high-profile endorsements from President Trump, House leadership, and Alaska state legislators, bolstering his edge in the R+6 partisan district. Democrats' Matt Schultz, an Anchorage pastor, leads challengers but trails in early 2025 polls (e.g., 46-39%) and lacks comparable resources after Peltola shifted to a competitive Senate bid in January 2026. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 top-four primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69% to retain Alaska's at-large House seat, driven by incumbent Nick Begich's strong re-election positioning following his narrow 2024 ranked-choice victory over Mary Peltola. Begich boasts superior fundraising with over $2.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025, alongside high-profile endorsements from President Trump, House leadership, and Alaska state legislators, bolstering his edge in the R+6 partisan district. Democrats' Matt Schultz, an Anchorage pastor, leads challengers but trails in early 2025 polls (e.g., 46-39%) and lacks comparable resources after Peltola shifted to a competitive Senate bid in January 2026. Forecasters rate the race Likely Republican ahead of the June filing deadline and August 18 top-four primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes