Recent redistricting signed into law in early May shifted Florida’s 16th congressional district toward a Republican-leaning partisan voting index of roughly R+6, incorporating stronger GOP territory across Manatee, Sarasota, and eastern Hillsborough counties. Incumbent Vern Buchanan’s retirement created an open seat, prompting multiple well-funded Republican primary candidates while the Democratic field remains more fragmented with lower fundraising. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and the structural advantage reflected in current trader consensus. The August 18 primaries will narrow both fields ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-16
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-16
$15,882 Vol.
$15,882 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
71%
Parti démocrate
25%
$15,882 Vol.
$15,882 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$5,752 Vol.
71%
Parti démocrate
$10,130 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting signed into law in early May shifted Florida’s 16th congressional district toward a Republican-leaning partisan voting index of roughly R+6, incorporating stronger GOP territory across Manatee, Sarasota, and eastern Hillsborough counties. Incumbent Vern Buchanan’s retirement created an open seat, prompting multiple well-funded Republican primary candidates while the Democratic field remains more fragmented with lower fundraising. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and the structural advantage reflected in current trader consensus. The August 18 primaries will narrow both fields ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$15,882Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting signed into law in early May shifted Florida’s 16th congressional district toward a Republican-leaning partisan voting index of roughly R+6, incorporating stronger GOP territory across Manatee, Sarasota, and eastern Hillsborough counties. Incumbent Vern Buchanan’s retirement created an open seat, prompting multiple well-funded Republican primary candidates while the Democratic field remains more fragmented with lower fundraising. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and the structural advantage reflected in current trader consensus. The August 18 primaries will narrow both fields ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,882Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting signed into law in early May shifted Florida’s 16th congressional district toward a Republican-leaning partisan voting index of roughly R+6, incorporating stronger GOP territory across Manatee, Sarasota, and eastern Hillsborough counties. Incumbent Vern Buchanan’s retirement created an open seat, prompting multiple well-funded Republican primary candidates while the Democratic field remains more fragmented with lower fundraising. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s recent voting patterns and the structural advantage reflected in current trader consensus. The August 18 primaries will narrow both fields ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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