Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 10 primary with roughly 86% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his primary. Mississippi's 2nd District remains rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters due to its majority-Black demographics and consistent performance in prior cycles. Thompson's decades-long tenure, including roles on the Homeland Security Committee, reinforces his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent attempts to redraw district lines have stalled without altering the current boundaries, limiting any near-term shift in competitive dynamics that traders appear to price into the current odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MS-02
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MS-02
$24,065 Vol.
$24,065 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
85%
Parti républicain
16%
$24,065 Vol.
$24,065 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$12,785 Vol.
85%
Parti républicain
$11,280 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 10 primary with roughly 86% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his primary. Mississippi's 2nd District remains rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters due to its majority-Black demographics and consistent performance in prior cycles. Thompson's decades-long tenure, including roles on the Homeland Security Committee, reinforces his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent attempts to redraw district lines have stalled without altering the current boundaries, limiting any near-term shift in competitive dynamics that traders appear to price into the current odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,065Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 10 primary with roughly 86% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his primary. Mississippi's 2nd District remains rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters due to its majority-Black demographics and consistent performance in prior cycles. Thompson's decades-long tenure, including roles on the Homeland Security Committee, reinforces his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent attempts to redraw district lines have stalled without altering the current boundaries, limiting any near-term shift in competitive dynamics that traders appear to price into the current odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,065Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 10 primary with roughly 86% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican Ron Eller narrowly won his primary. Mississippi's 2nd District remains rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters due to its majority-Black demographics and consistent performance in prior cycles. Thompson's decades-long tenure, including roles on the Homeland Security Committee, reinforces his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent attempts to redraw district lines have stalled without altering the current boundaries, limiting any near-term shift in competitive dynamics that traders appear to price into the current odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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