The incumbent Republican representative Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding position in Florida's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent strong Republican performance and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. Patronis won the April 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz by a wide margin in a district that Trump carried by 37 points in the prior cycle, and the newly enacted congressional map preserves this partisan advantage with no court rulings altering boundaries. With the Republican primary set for August 18, 2026, and limited Democratic primary activity centered on Gay Valimont, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the race. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unforeseen national shift in voter turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for this district indicate such reversals remain unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
FL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$108,946 Vol.
$108,946 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
6%
$108,946 Vol.
$108,946 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$85,395 Vol.
92%
Parti démocrate
$23,550 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Republican representative Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding position in Florida's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent strong Republican performance and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. Patronis won the April 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz by a wide margin in a district that Trump carried by 37 points in the prior cycle, and the newly enacted congressional map preserves this partisan advantage with no court rulings altering boundaries. With the Republican primary set for August 18, 2026, and limited Democratic primary activity centered on Gay Valimont, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the race. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unforeseen national shift in voter turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for this district indicate such reversals remain unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$108,946Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The incumbent Republican representative Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding position in Florida's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent strong Republican performance and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. Patronis won the April 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz by a wide margin in a district that Trump carried by 37 points in the prior cycle, and the newly enacted congressional map preserves this partisan advantage with no court rulings altering boundaries. With the Republican primary set for August 18, 2026, and limited Democratic primary activity centered on Gay Valimont, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the race. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unforeseen national shift in voter turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for this district indicate such reversals remain unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$108,946Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The incumbent Republican representative Jimmy Patronis holds a commanding position in Florida's 1st Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent strong Republican performance and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. Patronis won the April 2025 special election to succeed Matt Gaetz by a wide margin in a district that Trump carried by 37 points in the prior cycle, and the newly enacted congressional map preserves this partisan advantage with no court rulings altering boundaries. With the Republican primary set for August 18, 2026, and limited Democratic primary activity centered on Gay Valimont, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the race. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unforeseen national shift in voter turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though historical base rates for this district indicate such reversals remain unlikely.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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